- The 49ers (10-4) are -7.5 point favorites vs the Commanders (7-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Washington Commanders (7-6) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (10-4) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Santa Clara.
The 49ers are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Commanders vs. 49ers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +6.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +240 |
| 49ers | -6.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -300 |
Commanders vs. 49ers Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 16 game with 78.0% confidence.
Commanders vs 49ers Spread Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread this Week 16 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Commanders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +375 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +800 |
| George Kittle | +900 |
| Brian Robinson | +1000 |
| Jauan Jennings | +1400 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Commanders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | -165 |
| Brian Robinson | +145 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +170 |
| George Kittle | +190 |
| Terry McLaurin | +290 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Aiyuk | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| George Kittle | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -115 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Curtis Samuel | 29.5 -115 | 29.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Samuel | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -120 |
| Taylor Heinicke | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -120 |
| Antonio Gibson | 23.5 -120 | 23.5 -110 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 82.5 -115 | 82.5 -115 |
Commanders Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+7.30 Units / 118% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+6.00 Units / 101% ROI)
49ers Best Bets for Week 16:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.59% ROI).
- Commanders are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 20.89% ROI
- Commanders are 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -38.31% ROI
- Commanders are 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).
- 49ers are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 9.75% ROI
- 49ers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 49ers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Commanders are undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .709.
The Commanders are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Commanders are 4-9-1 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .628.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The 49ers are undefeated (13-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .546.
The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .361.
The 49ers are undefeated (11-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .548.
The 49ers are 17-3 (.850) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .511.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have scored on 9.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 12 — second-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 11.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 — tied for best in NFL.
49ers WRs have averaged 6.3 yards after the catch this season — best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 4.9 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
49ers RBs have 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to RBs this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Commanders have scored on 30.4% of their drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 24.5% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL.
The Commanders have run successful plays on just 41.6% of pass attempts this season — fifth-worst in NFL. 49ers have allowed successful plays on just 41.8% of pass attempts this season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of just 8.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — second-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fifth-best in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Commanders have started 20 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — most in NFL.
The Commanders threw the ball 30% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Commanders have run successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 15% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 15 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The 49ers have not recorded a TD in 11 drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 31% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The 49ers have completed passes for 20+ yards on 107 of their 947 total passing attempts (11%) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed first downs on 48% of plays on 3rd down last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Commanders defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 436 attempts (3%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Commanders defense did not record a sack (32 pass attempts) in Week 15 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 13.0.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The 49ers defense has allowed just 13.7 points per game to opposing offenses (192 points / 14 games) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.1.
The 49ers defense has allowed 87.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 128.9.
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Only 10% of the plays run against the 49ers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
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