- The Broncos are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Washington Commanders (1-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (0-1) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +150 |
| Broncos | -3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -185 |
Commanders vs. Broncos Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 2 game with 69.3% confidence.
Commanders vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Commanders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | +650 |
| Courtland Sutton | +800 |
| Brian Robinson | +800 |
| Samaje Perine | +1000 |
| Adam Trautman | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Commanders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | +105 |
| Brian Robinson | +140 |
| Courtland Sutton | +155 |
| Samaje Perine | +190 |
| Jerry Jeudy | +200 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -120 |
| Courtland Sutton | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -120 |
| Javonte Williams | 11.5 -115 | 11.5 -115 |
| Jahan Dotson | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -120 |
| Curtis Samuel | 26.5 -120 | 26.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Sam Howell | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Javonte Williams | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -120 |
| Samaje Perine | 32.5 -110 | 32.5 -120 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+5.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+1.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
- Commanders are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Commanders are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 0-1 (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Broncos are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Commanders are 6-1 (.857) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Commanders are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Broncos have averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Commanders are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Commanders are 1-6 (.143) after a road win since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Broncos are winless (0-8) on the road since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.
The Broncos were winless (0-8) on the road in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Broncos are 3-13 (.188) on the road since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Broncos are 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of just 29.8% since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 31.7% since the 2022 season — best in NFL.
The Broncos have been successful on just 37.1% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL. Commanders have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.7% of plays since the 2022 season — best in NFL.
The Broncos have run successful plays on just 32.6% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. Commanders have allowed successful plays on just 40.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season — best in NFL.
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of just 11.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of just 27.0% against the blitz since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.9% when blitzing since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Commanders are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Broncos have averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 1 — tied for most in NFL.
The Commanders started 66 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 33% of plays in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos had a third down conversion rate of 29% in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Broncos have started 22 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have run 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 514 attempts (3%) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Commanders defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (16 completions/36 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
The Commanders defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of just 72.7 when blitzing (311 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 91.6.
Only 11% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in the red zone in the 1st half since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
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