- The Eagles are -4 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Washington Commanders (0-0-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-130).
The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +4 -102 | 47.5 -175 | +188 |
| Eagles | -4 -130 | 47.5 +130 | -225 |
Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 60.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Commanders vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
- Jaylin Lane has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dyami Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 80% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | -140 |
| Jalen Hurts | +125 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | +150 |
| DeVonta Smith | +160 |
| Rachaad White | +180 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DeVonta Smith | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Terry McLaurin | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 |
| Stefon Diggs | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -111 |
| Dallas Goedert | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Jayden Daniels | 38.5 -120 | 38.5 -111 |
| Jalen Hurts | 26.5 -120 | 26.5 -111 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 2 games (+3.29 Units / 164% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.95 Units / 74% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders were 2-7 (.222) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Commanders were 1-10 (.091) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .297.
The Commanders were 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .489.
The Commanders were undefeated (3-0) when leading at the end of first quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .698.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Eagles were 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
The Eagles were 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — 6th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 33 s last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
The Eagles were 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .657.
The Eagles were 7-4 (.636) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles scored on 41% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed scores on 48.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Eagles were 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
Eagles TEs had 12 receiving touchdowns last season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Commanders allowed 33 receiving touchdowns last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The Commanders ran 24.2% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed their opponent to run 24.2% of plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Commanders had a late down conversion rate of just 15.2% with 0-3 yards to go last season — 4th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles defense allowed a late down conversion rate of just 14.8% with 0-3 yards to go last season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Commanders had a third down conversion rate of 54.5% last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 54.5% last week — 4th-highest in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders averaged -0.11 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Commanders had a third down conversion rate of 28% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 47% of rush attempts last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Commanders threw the ball 16% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/131 plays) on plays under center last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 27%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.
The Eagles went three and out on 29% of their drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Eagles scored on 24% of their drives (13/54) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Eagles had a third down conversion rate of 27% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed 11.0 yards per play open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.
The Commanders defense allowed 7.6 yards per dropback (1,304 yards/171 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Commanders defense allowed 0.15 epa per play in the 1st half last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Commanders defense allowed successful plays on 60% of pass attempts first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed 14 TD passes last season — fewest in NFL.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 43% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts first read passes since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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