Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10, MNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The Eagles (9-1) are point favorites vs the Commanders (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Washington Commanders (4-5) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (8-0) on Nov. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Philadelphia.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Commanders+11 -11044 -110+375
Eagles -11 -11044 -110-500

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 10 game with 72.8% confidence.

Commanders vs Eagles Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread this Week 10 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.02% ROI).

  • Commanders are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Commanders are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Commanders are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI).

  • Eagles are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Eagles are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Eagles are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Commanders are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.

The Commanders are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Commanders are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .446.

The Commanders are 2-4 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) on the road this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .448.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles RBs have averaged just 5.1 yards after the catch this season — worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed just 5.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — second-best in NFL.

Eagles RBs have averaged just 5.2 yards after the catch since Week 6 — third-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 6 — best in NFL.

The Eagles have thrown for 9.5 yards per attempt on first down this season — second-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 8.6 yards per dropback on first down this season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

The Commanders have run just 34.5% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — worst in NFL. Eagles have allowed their opponents to run just 39.2% of plays in their territory this season — second-best in NFL.

The Commanders have scored on 25.9% of their drives this season — worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed scores on 25.6% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL.

The Commanders have scored on 18.5% of their drives in the first half this season — worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed scores on 23.4% of opponent drives in the first half this season — best in NFL.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Commanders have run 27% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Commanders have run successful plays on 22% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Commanders are averaging 14.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Commanders have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Eagles have run the ball on 48% of plays (52 carries/109 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (128 carries/330 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 22% of the time (29 Pass Attempts/131 plays) in the 4th quarter this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles ran the ball on 50% of plays (540 carries/1,077 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Commanders defense has allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Commanders defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 10 of 289 attempts (4%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

The Commanders defense has hit opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 14.8 on 3rd and long (31 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 79.0.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 68.0 (291 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.2.

The Eagles defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (7 completions/18 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.