Philadelphia EaglesWashington Commanders

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

BetMGM Betting Dec 31, 2025, 4:09 PM

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General view of Lincoln Financial Field during an NFL football game between the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021, in Philadelphia.

(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)

The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
Total (Over/Under): 39 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Washington Commanders (4-12-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (11-5-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

Jaylin Lane has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.52 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.89 Units / 65% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

The Washington Commanders have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.79 Units / 20% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 games (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 6-10 (-4.9 Units / -28.24% ROI).

Commanders are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -44.95% ROI
Commanders are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
Commanders are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 10-6 (+3.4 Units / 19.37% ROI).

Eagles are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.68% ROI
Eagles are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Eagles are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.

The Eagles ran 6% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles were not flagged on offense in Week 17 — T-fewest in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 37.5 in the red zone (84 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 95.0.

The Eagles defense has allowed 9 TD passes in the red zone this season — fewest in NFL.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of plays first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (27 completions/84 attempts) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles