Commanders vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Commanders (7-5) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Giants (7-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Washington Commanders (7-5) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (7-4) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.

The Commanders are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Giants Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Commanders-2.5 -11040.5 -110-135
Giants +2.5 -11040.5 -110+110

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 13 game with 48.3% confidence.

Commanders vs Giants Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 13 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Curtis Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Commanders

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
Darius Slayton 46.5 -115 46.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Commanders

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 71.5 -115 71.5 -115
Daniel Jones 33.5 -110 33.5 -120
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+9.05 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 19.62% ROI).

  • Commanders are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 40.34% ROI
  • Commanders are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Commanders are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 8-3 (+4.75 Units / 39.92% ROI).

  • Giants are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 50.18% ROI
  • Giants are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -30.86% ROI
  • Giants are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.58% ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Commanders are undefeated (4-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Commanders are 7-3 (.700) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .516.

The Commanders are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

The Commanders are 4-2 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .438.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Giants are 6-1 (.857) when forcing at least one fumble this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Giants are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

The Giants are 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Giants are 5-2 (.714) when underdogs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants

Giants TEs have just 33.3 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed an average ofjust 31.7 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — second-best in NFL.

The Giants have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 31.7% of pass attempts this season — second-worst in NFL. The Commanders have pressured opposing QBs on 28.4% of passing plays this season — third-best in NFL.

Giants TEs have 31 receptions in 10 games (just 3.1 per game) this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed just 3.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Commanders have rushed the ball on 61.8% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 9 — fifth-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 9 — tied for most in NFL.

The Commanders have rushed the ball on 61.8% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 9 — fifth-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 9 — tied for most in NFL.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Commanders have started 15 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Commanders threw the ball 30% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Commanders have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Commanders have run 790 plays this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants converted first downs on just 24 of 110 plays (22%) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Commanders defense has allowed 5.2 yards after the catch (207 RAC / 40 receptions) to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.6.

The Commanders defense has hit opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Commanders defense has allowed 5.9 yards after the catch (731 RAC / 124 receptions) to RBs since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.

The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Giants defense did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in Week 12 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.8.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants defense has blitzed on 21% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Giants defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 10% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.