Commanders vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:35 AM
  • The Lions (0-1) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Commanders (1-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Washington Commanders (1-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Lions Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington Commanders+1.5 -11048.5 -110+105
Detroit Lions -1.5 -11048.5 -110-125

Commanders vs. Lions Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 2 game with 52.0% confidence.

Commanders vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 2 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • J.D. McKissic has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Curtis Samuel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Commanders

Player Name Over Under
J.D. McKissic 22.5 -115 22.5 -115
Logan Thomas 31.5 -110 31.5 -115
Terry McLaurin 58.5 -115 58.5 -110
Curtis Samuel 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
Jahan Dotson 39.5 -115 39.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Commanders

Player Name Over Under
Antonio Gibson 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
Carson Wentz 11.5 -115 11.5 -115
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have scored last in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Commanders are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Commanders are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Commanders are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Lions are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Lions are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Lions are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Commanders were winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Commanders were 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Commanders were winless (0-7) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .259.

The Commanders were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Lions were 1-8-1 (.100) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .483.

The Lions are 1-3-1 (.200) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .737.

The Lions were winless (0-5-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

The Lions were 1-9-1 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions ran successful plays on just 37.9% of rush attempts last season — fourth-worst in NFL. Commanders allowed successful plays on just 39.0% of rush attempts last season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Lions ran 19.7% offensive plays in the red zone last week — tied for fourth-best in NFL. Commanders allowed their opponent to run 22.6% of plays in the red zone in Week 1 — second-worst in NFL.

Lions TEs have averaged just 4.0 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed just 4.1 yards after catch per reception to TEs since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Commanders have rushed the ball on 55.1% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2021 season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 22 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — third-most in NFL.

The Commanders scored 4 TDs last week — tied for third-most in NFL. The Lions allowed 4 TDs in Week 1 — tied for third-most in NFL.

Commanders TEs have averaged 5.8 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 6.0 yards after catch per reception to TEs since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Commanders threw for 4 TDs in Week 1 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Commanders threw the ball 30% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Commanders had an average drive start position from the 19.3 yard line in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.6.

The Commanders ran the ball on 66% of plays (46 carries/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Lions started 28 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

The Lions ran 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have started 29 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Commanders defense allowed a passer rating of 98.8 when they pressured the QB (111 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58.2.

The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 50% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Commanders defense allowed 6.6 yards per dropback (729 yards/111 attempts) on passes when they pressured the QB last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.6.

The Commanders defense allowed first downs on 48% of plays on 3rd down last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Lions defense allowed 75 broken tackles last season — most in NFL.

The Lions defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense have allowed 160 broken tackles since the 2020 season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.