Cowboys vs 49ers Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets – NFC Divisional Round

min read
San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan stands on the sidelines during the second half of an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Rams Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 22, 2023, 11:48 AM
  • The 49ers (13-4) are 4 point favorites vs the Cowboys (12-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Dallas Cowboys (12-5) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (13-4) on Sunday, Jan. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Santa Clara.

The 49ers are betting favorites in this NFC Divisional Round playoff game, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. 49ers Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

Bet now on 49ers vs Cowboys & all NFL games with BetMGM

Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under, NFC Divisional Round:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys+4 -11046 -110+165
49ers -4 -11046 -110-200

Cowboys vs. 49ers Prediction for NFC Divisional Round

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this NFC Divisional Round game with 60.5% confidence.

Cowboys vs 49ers Spread Prediction for NFC Divisional Round

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread in this NFC Divisional Round with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on 49ers vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)

Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brandon Aiyuk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Brock Purdy has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Eli Mitchell has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 62% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Cowboys

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey +500
Tony Pollard +900
George Kittle +900
CeeDee Lamb +900
Deebo Samuel +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Cowboys

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey -160
Tony Pollard +120
Deebo Samuel +145
Ezekiel Elliott +150
George Kittle +155

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
Michael Gallup 36.5 -110 36.5 -120
Deebo Samuel 54.5 -115 54.5 -115
Brandon Aiyuk 54.5 -115 54.5 -115
Christian Mccaffrey 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Dalton Schultz 41.5 -115 41.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
Ezekiel Elliott 34.5 -110 34.5 -120
Christian Mccaffrey 65.5 -110 65.5 -120
Brock Purdy 6.5 -120 6.5 -110
Dak Prescott 13.5 -120 13.5 -110
Tony Pollard 47.5 -110 47.5 -120
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 16.75% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 9.92% ROI
  • Cowboys are 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Cowboys are 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / ROI

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 12-6 (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 49ers are 14-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 12.73% ROI
  • 49ers are 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 49ers are 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Cowboys are undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .614.

The Cowboys are 10-1 (.909) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .514.

The Cowboys are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The 49ers are undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .353.

The 49ers are undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

The 49ers are undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .614.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers ran 21.7% offensive plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. Cowboys allowed their opponent to run 19.0% of plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL.

The 49ers averaged 394 yards from scrimmage per game (1,575 YFS / 4 G) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed an average of 400.2 yards from scrimmage per game (1,601/4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.

The 49ers threw for 8.9 yards per attempt in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 7.5 yards per dropback in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs had 58 receptions in 4 games (14.5 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The 49ers allowed 24.8 receptions per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs had 58 receptions in 4 games (14.5 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The 49ers allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys averaged just 3.0 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed just 3.5 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-best in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for NFC Divisional Round

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 18 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys went three and out on 67% of their drives in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Cowboys have started 16 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have scored 5.0 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats for NFC Divisional Round

The 49ers ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The 49ers started 5 drives inside opposing territory in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The 49ers ran successful plays on 80% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The 49ers had 6 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for NFC Divisional Round

The Cowboys defense has forced 21 fumbles this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has forced 68 turnovers since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (42/34) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense has averaged a turnover percentage of 3% (68 / 2,185) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats for NFC Divisional Round

The 49ers defense has allowed just 15.2 points per game to opposing offenses (259 points / 17 games) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.8.

Only 8% of the plays run against the 49ers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 26% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The 49ers defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 23 of 377 carries (6%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on 49ers vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.