Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 26, 2025, 10:20 AM

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Kick off for the 2024 NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High during the Denver Broncos v Pittsburgh Steelers during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 15, 2024 in Denver. (AP Photo/Bart Young)

(AP Photo/Bart Young)

The Broncos are -3.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (5-2-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).

The Cowboys vs. Broncos Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Cowboys	+3.5 -118	50.5 -110	145
Broncos	-3.5 -102	50.5 -110	-175

Cowboys vs. Broncos Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Broncos Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
George Pickens has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.60 Units / 71% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.14 Units / 96% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 4-3 (+0.8 Units / 10.53% ROI).

Cowboys are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -7.94% ROI
Cowboys are 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Cowboys are 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 2-5 (-3.4 Units / -44.74% ROI).

Broncos are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 18.05% ROI
Broncos are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Broncos are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Cowboys have run the ball on 25% of plays (5 carries/20 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Cowboys have committed 12 turnovers in the red zone since the 2024 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 13% of plays (11 carries/84 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Cowboys have thrown for 16 TDs this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Broncos have run 13% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter since Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos have run 29% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Broncos have gone three and out on 37% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos