Cowboys vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

A general overall interior view of MetLife Stadium as the New York Giants take on the Carolina Panthers during the first half an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Betting Promos This Weekend
  • The Giants are -2 point favorites vs the Cowboys
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch this game on NBC | PEAC

The Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Giants are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (+160).

The Cowboys vs. Giants Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys+2 -21048.5 -120-160
Giants -2 +16048.5 -108+138

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 53.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

  • Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • KaVontae Turpin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Javonte Williams -160
Cam Skattebo +105
CeeDee Lamb +115
George Pickens +135
Malik Nabers +175

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
CeeDee Lamb 76.5 -115 76.5 -115
George Pickens 68.5 -115 68.5 -115
Malik Nabers 61.5 -110 61.5 -120
Isaiah Likely 35.5 -111 35.5 -118
Jake Ferguson 31.5 -115 31.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
Javonte Williams 72.5 -115 72.5 -115
Cam Skattebo 49.5 -120 49.5 -111
Jaxson Dart 30.5 -111 30.5 -118
Malik Davis 12.5 -115 12.5 -115
Dak Prescott 6.5 -120 6.5 -110
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Cowboys were 2-5 (.286) after a win last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .578.

The Cowboys were winless (0-3) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Cowboys were 1-5 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Cowboys were winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Giants were winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.

The Giants were 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.

The Giants were 2-10 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Giants were 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

The Giants ran 62.3% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed their opponents to run62.3% of plays in their territory last week — 3rd-highest in NFL.

The Giants went three and out on 0% of their drives last week — T-best in NFL. The Cowboys forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives last week — T-lowest in NFL.

The Giants were successful on just 41.0% of pass attempts with motion last season — 4th-lowest in NFL. The Cowboys pressured opposing QBs on 31.7% of pass attempts against motion last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Cowboys went three and out on 13.3% of their drives last season — best in NFL. The Giants forced three and outs on 15% of opponent drives last season — T-3rd-lowest in NFL.

The Cowboys averaged 404.2 yards from scrimmage per game (6,871 YFS / 17 G) last season — best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average of 375.2 yards from scrimmage per game (6,378/17) last season — 4th-highest in NFL.

The Cowboys ran 22.6% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed their opponent to run 22.6% of plays in the red zone last week — 4th-highest in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys threw the ball 63% of the time (37 Pass Attempts/59 plays) on 3rd and short last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Cowboys ran the ball on 17% of plays (35 carries/209 plays) on 3rd down last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Cowboys ran the ball on 37% of plays (22 carries/59 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.

The Cowboys have committed 14 turnovers in the red zone since the 2024 season — most in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants turned the ball over on downs 10 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

The Giants scored 3.7 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Giants ran successful plays on 27% of plays against a heavy rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense allowed 0.21 epa per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Cowboys defense allowed 7.0 yards per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Cowboys defense allowed a passer rating of 143.4 with a light front (89 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 87.4.

The Cowboys defense allowed 10.5 yards per play open coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 19 times last season — T-most in NFL.

The Giants defense allowed a passer rating of 122.2 against play action passes (113 Pass Attempts) last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.

The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 49% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Giants defense allowed 8.8 yards per play against play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.