Cowboys vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1 SNF

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(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:05 PM
  • The Cowboys are -3 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch Sunday Night Football on NBC

The Dallas Cowboys (0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in East Rutherford.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Cowboys vs. Giants Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys-3 -11546.5 -110-175
Giants +3 -10546.5 -110+145

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 1 game with 65.8% confidence.

Cowboys vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Tony Pollard +550
Saquon Barkley +600
CeeDee Lamb +750
Brandin Cooks +1100
Daniel Jones +1400

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Saquon Barkley -150
Tony Pollard -150
CeeDee Lamb -105
Brandin Cooks +155
Daniel Jones +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
CeeDee Lamb 71.5 -120 71.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 65.5 -115 65.5 -120
Tony Pollard 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Dak Prescott 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Daniel Jones 34.5 -120 34.5 -110
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • Cowboys are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Cowboys are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants went 0-3 (-3.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Giants are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -32.05% ROI
  • Giants are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Giants are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Cowboys were 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — seventh-best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 38 s last season — second-highest in NFL.

The Cowboys were 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for best in NFL. The Giants intercepted 6 passes last season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Cowboys were 7-1 (.875) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .497.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Giants were winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Giants are winless (0-12) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .346.

The Giants are winless (0-5-1) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .278.

The Giants are 1-11 (.083) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

The Giants ran just 11.3% offensive plays in the red zone last season — third-worst in NFL. Cowboys allowed their opponent to run just 12.2% of plays in the red zone last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Giants allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30% of pass attempts last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys had pressured opposing QBs on 27.5% of passing plays last season — second-best in NFL.

Giants TEs had just 35.0 receiving yards per game last season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys allowed an average of just 37.0 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Cowboys had a third down conversion rate of 28.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Giants defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — seventh-best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 38 s last season — second-highest in NFL.

The Cowboys were 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for best in NFL. The Giants intercepted 6 passes last season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have started 16 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 49% of plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cowboys started 19 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants did not score on any drive in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 59 of their 1,112 total passing attempts (5%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants ran 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Giants started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense forced 21 fumbles in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Cowboys targeted WRs 70% of the time (40 Pass Attempts/57 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Cowboys defense has forced 68 turnovers since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (42/34) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense blitzed on 23% of plays in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Giants defense blitzed 249 times in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Giants defense allowed first downs on 30% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 12% of the time (66 Pass Attempts/567 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.