Cowboys vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

BetMGM Betting Dec 31, 2025, 4:12 PM

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A general overall interior view of MetLife Stadium as the New York Giants take on the Carolina Panthers during the first half an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Cowboys are -3.5 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (3-13-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Giants Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 68.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
Devin Singletary has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.85 Units / 66% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 7-9 (-2.8 Units / -15.95% ROI).

Cowboys are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -12.52% ROI
Cowboys are 12-4 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 43.18% ROI
Cowboys are 4-12 when betting the Under for -9.2 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 8-8 (-0.85 Units / -4.83% ROI).

Giants are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -41.35% ROI
Giants are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Giants are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Giants are winless (0-10) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 1-8 (.111) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .487.

The Giants are 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Giants are winless (0-8) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 71% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/94 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 14% of plays (48 carries/342 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

The Cowboys have committed 14 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have started 9 drives inside opposing territory this season — T-fewest in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants