Cowboys vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The Cowboys (8-3) are point favorites vs the Packers (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Dallas Cowboys (6-2) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-6) on Nov. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Green Bay.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Packers Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys-4.5 -11043 -110-200
Packers +4.5 -11043 -110+165

Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 10 game with 64.0% confidence.

Cowboys vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 10 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 6-2 (+3.85 Units / 44.51% ROI).

  • Cowboys are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Cowboys are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Cowboys are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Packers are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Packers are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Packers are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Cowboys are undefeated (15-0) when leading at the end of the first half since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .769.

The Cowboys are 16-1 (.941) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .610.

The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .431.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Packers are 10-1 (.909) at home since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .523.

The Packers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .667.

The Packers are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Packers are winless (0-4) since Week 6 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have scored on 18.5% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 13.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL.

The Packers have scored on 24.4% of their drives in the second half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 23.4% of opponent drives in the second half this season — second-best in NFL.

The Packers have scored on 19% of their drives in late and close games this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 139.7 rushing yards per game since Week 6 — third-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 155.0 rushing yards per game since Week 6 — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have gone three and out on 0% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 6 — tied for best in NFL. Packers have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 6 — tied for worst in NFL.

Cowboys TEs have averaged just 3.7 yards after the catch this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 3.4 yards after catch per reception to TEs this season — tied for best in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 22% in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Cowboys have run 10% of their plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys have converted first downs on 45 of 181 plays (25%) on plays when their QB has been pressured since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 41% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Packers ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers have scored on 22% of their drives since Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Packers ran 33% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 9 — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cowboys’ opponents have attempted two-point conversions on 33% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Cowboys defense allowed a passer rating of just 76.1 (612 Pass Attempts) last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 32% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 39% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.