Cowboys vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2022, 8:17 AM
  • The Rams (2-2) are -5.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys (3-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Dallas Cowboys (3-1) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (2-2) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Rams are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Rams Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys+5.5 -11042 -110+200
Rams -5.5 -11042 -110-250

Cowboys vs. Rams Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rams will win this Week 5 game with 72.8% confidence.

Cowboys vs Rams Spread Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 5 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Rams, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • James Washington has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • CeeDee Lamb has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.35 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Allen Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Rams vs Cowboys

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Cooper Kupp +375
    Darrell Henderson +700
    Cam Akers +800
    Tyler Higbee +1000
    Allen Robinson +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Rams vs Cowboys

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Cooper Kupp -200
    Darrell Henderson +115
    Cam Akers +130
    Ezekiel Elliott +130
    CeeDee Lamb +150

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Cowboys

    Player Name Over Under
    Cooper Kupp 94.5 -115 94.5 -115
    Ezekiel Elliott 11.5 -115 11.5 -115
    CeeDee Lamb 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
    Michael Gallup 38.5 -110 38.5 -115
    Ben Skowronek 28.5 -115 28.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Cowboys

    Player Name Over Under
    Matthew Stafford 3.5 -105 3.5 -125
    Cooper Rush 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
    Cam Akers 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
    Darrell Henderson Jr. 30.5 -115 30.5 -110
    Ezekiel Elliott 51.5 -115 51.5 -110
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have scored first in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI).

    • Cowboys are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 81.52% ROI
    • Cowboys are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
    • Cowboys are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI

    Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.87% ROI).

    • Rams are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Rams are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
    • Rams are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

    Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

    The Cowboys are undefeated (13-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

    The Cowboys are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .149.

    The Cowboys are undefeated (12-0) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .692.

    The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

    Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

    The Rams are 6-1 (.857) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .493.

    The Rams are 6-1 (.857) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .554.

    The Rams are 2-4 (.333) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.

    The Rams are 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .577.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Rams

    The Rams scored on 30% of their drives last week — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense allowed scores on 15.4% of opponent drives in Week 3 — best in NFL.

    The Rams have scored on 7.7% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — second-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 12.5% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Rams have thrown for 20+ yards on 9 of 150 attempts this season — third-worst in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 20+ yards on just 4.2% of attempts this season — best in NFL.

    The Cowboys have run successful plays on 43.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Rams have pressured opposing QBs on just 21.7% of passing plays since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

    Cowboys WRs have 189.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Rams have averaged 180.7 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Cowboys are averaging just 3.0 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 2.9 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right this season — second-best in NFL.

    Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 0% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 13% in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

    The Cowboys started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 4 — most in NFL.

    The Cowboys have converted first downs on 43 of 163 plays (26%) on plays when their QB has been pressured since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

    Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Rams have converted first downs on 11 of 13 plays (85%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

    The Rams did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 4 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

    The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

    The Rams have not recorded a TD in 13 drives in the 4th quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

    Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    No plays were run against the Cowboys were in Cowboys territory in the 1st quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

    The Cowboys defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

    Only 23% of the plays ran against the Cowboys were in their own territory in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Cowboys defense has 30 interceptions since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 71.5 in the red zone (79 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.

    The Rams’ opponents averaged 36.7 Passing Attempts per TD (624 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) last season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

    The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Rams defense allowed 11.9 yards after the catch (191 RAC / 16 receptions) in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.