Dolphins vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2022, 2:57 PM
  • The Dolphins (5-3) are -5 point favorites vs the Bears (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Miami Dolphins (5-3) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-5) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago.

The Dolphins are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).

The Dolphins vs. Bears Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Dolphins vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dolphins-5 -11044 -110-225
Bears +5 -11044 -110+180

Dolphins vs. Bears Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 9 game with 72.8% confidence.

Dolphins vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread this Week 9 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Tyreek Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+13.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.40 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 4-4 (-0.45 Units / -5.03% ROI).

  • Dolphins are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 20.65% ROI
  • Dolphins are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Dolphins are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 3-4 (-1.5 Units / -16.85% ROI).

  • Bears are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 17.34% ROI
  • Bears are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Bears are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Dolphins were 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Dolphins are undefeated (3-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Dolphins were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Dolphins are 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .569.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Bears are winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Bears are winless (0-10) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .199.

The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Bears are winless (0-6) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears

Bears RBs have gained 221 yards on 20 receptions (11.0 YPR) this season — best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 8.6 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Dolphins have scored 4.7 points per Red Zone drive this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 4.8 points per Red Zone drive this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Dolphins have gone three and out 9 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 19.1 yard line in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.2.

The Dolphins ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 21.9 yard line this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.0.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Bears have gone three and out 12 times in the 2nd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 46% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Bears have thrown the ball 34% of the time (159 Pass Attempts/473 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Bears have allowed a QB Hit on 34% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Dolphins defense allowed at least 5 yards on 37% of first down plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

25% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed scores on 14% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 22% of rush attempts in Week 7 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Bears defense has allowed 76 of 149 (51%) first downs through the air (51%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 65% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.