- The Browns are -2.5 point favorites vs the Dolphins
- Total (Over/Under): 40 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Miami Dolphins (1-5-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-5-0) on Oct. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
The Browns are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Dolphins vs. Browns Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | +2.5 -105 | 40 -110 | 118 |
| Browns | -2.5 -115 | 40 -110 | -140 |
Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Dolphins vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
- Malik Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.16 Units / 34% ROI)
- Malik Washington has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Devon Achane has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Carries Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Jerry Jeudy (CLE) | 46.5 -118 | 46.5 -110 |
| De'Von Achane (MIA) | 30.5 -110 | 30.5 -118 |
| Darren Waller (MIA) | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -118 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane (MIA) | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -115 |
| Ollie Gordon II (MIA) | 14.5 -110 | 14.5 -118 |
| Quinshon Judkins (CLE) | 84.5 -115 | 84.5 -115 |
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.33 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+2.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins are 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- Dolphins are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -64.08% ROI
- Dolphins are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Browns are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -26.67% ROI
- Browns are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Browns are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 608 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense has allowed 6.3 TDs per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.2.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz 125 times since the 2024 season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz just 9% of the time since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz 125 times since the 2024 season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz just 9% of the time since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 608 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense has allowed 6.3 TDs per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.2.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 608 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense has allowed 6.3 TDs per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.2.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz 125 times since the 2024 season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz just 9% of the time since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 608 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense has allowed 6.3 TDs per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.2.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz 125 times since the 2024 season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins have faced a blitz just 9% of the time since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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