- The Chargers are -3 point favorites vs the Dolphins
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Miami Dolphins (0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Inglewood.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Dolphins vs. Chargers Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | +3 -110 | 51 -110 | +135 |
| Chargers | -3 -110 | 51 -110 | -160 |
Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 1 game with 57.0% confidence.
Dolphins vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jeff Wilson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Dolphins
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | +450 |
| Raheem Mostert | +600 |
| Tyreek Hill | +800 |
| Jaylen Waddle | +900 |
| Mike Williams | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | -275 |
| Raheem Mostert | -125 |
| Tyreek Hill | +100 |
| Jaylen Waddle | +125 |
| Mike Williams | +125 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -115 |
| Mike Williams | 57.5 -110 | 57.5 -120 |
| Austin Ekeler | 35.5 -110 | 35.5 -120 |
| Raheem Mostert | 14.5 -115 | 14.5 -115 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 66.5 -120 | 66.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | 49.5 -120 | 49.5 -110 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Raheem Mostert | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -120 |
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 45% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored last in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 39% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Dolphins went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Dolphins are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -40.58% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
- Dolphins are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chargers went 2-1 (+0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI).
- Chargers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 108.33% ROI
- Chargers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Dolphins were 1-6 (.143) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Dolphins were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Dolphins were undefeated (4-0) when leading at the end of first quarter in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .603.
The Dolphins were 5-1 (.833) when scoring 22 or more points in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .727.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Chargers were undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .713.
The Chargers were 2-1 (.667) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Chargers were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .544.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers RBs had 7 receiving touchdowns last season — tied for second-most in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to RBs last season — tied for most in NFL.
Chargers WRs had 260 receptions in 17 games (15.3 per game) last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 24.5 receptions per game last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 48.8% in the first half last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Dolphins defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 47.3% in the first half last season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins scored on 39.5% of their drives in the first quarter last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 35.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — fifth-worst in NFL.
Dolphins RBs averaged 2.9 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-worst in NFL.
Dolphins RBs averaged 2.9 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 2.6 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-worst in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins converted first downs on just 5 of 16 plays (31%) on 3rd and short in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Dolphins had an average drive start position from the 20.6 yard line in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.9.
The Dolphins had an average drive start position from the 23.3 yard line in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.7.
The Dolphins ran the ball on 8% of plays (4 carries/48 plays) on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers are averaging 10.2 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Chargers ran the ball on 34% of plays (386 carries/1,152 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers have run the ball on 35% of plays (794 carries/2,281 plays) since the 2021 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 61% of the time (1,385 Pass Attempts/2,281 plays) since the 2021 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
20% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Dolphins defense blitzed on 24% of plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
37% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of plays in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed 17 TDs that were 20+ yards in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chargers defense allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Chargers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (447 carries) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
The Chargers defense have forced three and outs on 13% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
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