Dolphins vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The visit Ford Field to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Dolphins vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dolphins-3.5 -11051.5 -110-190
Lions +3.5 -11051.5 -110+155

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 8 game with 69.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread this Week 8 with 68.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Teddy Bridgewater has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.30 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Dolphins

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Raheem Mostert +700
    Jaylen Waddle +750
    Tyreek Hill +750
    Amon-Ra St. Brown +800
    Jamaal Williams +800

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Dolphins

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Tyreek Hill -125
    Raheem Mostert -125
    Jaylen Waddle -105
    Amon-Ra St. Brown +100
    Jamaal Williams +105

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Dolphins

    Player Name Over Under
    Tyreek Hill 87.5 -110 87.5 -120
    Raheem Mostert 13.5 -115 13.5 -120
    Mike Gesicki 26.5 -110 26.5 -120
    T.J. Hockenson 41.5 -120 41.5 -110
    Amon-Ra St. Brown 63.5 -115 63.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Dolphins

    Player Name Over Under
    Raheem Mostert 67.5 -120 67.5 -110
    Tua Tagovailoa 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
    Jared Goff 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
    D'Andre Swift 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
    Jamaal Williams 36.5 -120 36.5 -110
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 104% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+7.80 Units / 115% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-4 (-1.45 Units / -18.47% ROI).

    • are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 14.83% ROI
    • are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
    • are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / ROI

    Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI).

    • are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -69.12% ROI
    • are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
    • are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

    Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

    The Dolphins are 4-1 (.800) when playing in warm weather this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .491.

    The Dolphins are 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Lions have intercepted 13 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

    The Dolphins are 4-1 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .522.

    The Dolphins are 12-5 (.706) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .600.

    Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

    The Lions are 1-2-1 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .788.

    The Lions are winless (0-6-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

    The Lions are 1-3-1 (.200) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .741.

    The Lions are 1-14-1 (.062) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Detroit Lions

    The Lions have run successful plays on just 38.3% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. Dolphins have allowed successful plays on just 39.3% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

    Lions RBs have gained 231 yards on 25 receptions (9.2 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 9.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — third-worst in NFL.

    The Lions are averaging just 3.0 yards per carry on rushes up the middle this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed just 2.6 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle this season — best in NFL.

    The Dolphins have run successful plays on 48.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. Lions have allowed successful plays on 55.9% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

    The Dolphins have thrown for 8.1 yards per attempt this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 7.7 yards per dropback this season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Dolphins have thrown for 8.6 yards per attempt out of the shotgun this season — best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 8.0 yards per dropback against the shotgun this season — worst in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Dolphins have gone three and out 9 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

    The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 21.4 yard line this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.0.

    The Dolphins ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Dolphins ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Lions have started 39 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

    The Lions have an average drive start position from the 35.4 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.2.

    The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    25% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

    The Dolphins defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

    The Dolphins’ opponents did not attempt a two-point conversion (39 PATs) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

    Only 11% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st half last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (92 Pass Attempts/739 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

    The Lions defense has allowed scores on 47% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

    The Lions defense have allowed 96 broken tackles since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Lions defense has allowed 7.7 yards per dropback (5,656 yards/739 attempts) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.