- The Raiders are -4 point favorites vs the Dolphins
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Miami Dolphins (0-0-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in Paradise, NV.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-105).
The Dolphins vs. Raiders Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | +4 -130 | 40.5 -105 | +150 |
| Raiders | -4 -105 | 40.5 -112 | -185 |
Dolphins vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Dolphins vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Devon Achane has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Devon Achane has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Greg Dulcich has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brock Bowers has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Raiders vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | -165 |
| De'Von Achane | -115 |
| Tre Tucker | +210 |
| Michael Mayer | +240 |
| Malik Willis | +240 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Raiders vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tre Tucker | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
| Michael Mayer | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
| Jalen Nailor | 35.5 -125 | 35.5 -105 |
| De'Von Achane | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Greg Dulcich | 27.5 -115 | 27.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Raiders vs Dolphins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 68.5 -115 | 68.5 -115 |
| Malik Willis | 37.5 -125 | 37.5 -105 |
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Dolphins were 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team converted less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns (6th-best in NFL) and 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converted 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season (T-6th-lowest in NFL).
The Dolphins were 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of 4+ yards (T-8th-lowest in NFL) and 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 10 plays of 4+ yards rushing last season (10th-best in NFL).
The Dolphins were 3-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 31 s last season — highest in NFL.
The Dolphins were winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .297.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Raiders were winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Raiders were winless (0-11) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.
The Raiders were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .460.
The Raiders were 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders TEs had 68.3 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Dolphins allowed an average of 66.7 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Raiders went three and out on 32.5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Dolphins forced three and outs on 27.3% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.
Raiders TEs averaged 9.2 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 6.4 receptions per game to TEs last season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
Dolphins WRs averaged just 14.4 targets per game last season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Raiders allowed 12.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-4th-highest in NFL.
The Dolphins allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 48% of pass attempts last week — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Raiders had pressured opposing QBs on 41.9% of passing plays last week — 5th-best in NFL.
Dolphins RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — T-4th-highest in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins scored on 11% of their drives (5/45) in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Dolphins converted fourth downs on just 5 of 12 plays (42%) in short yardage situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
The Dolphins averaged just 5.2 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Dolphins went three and out 14 times in the 3rd quarter last season — 3rd-most in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders converted first downs on just 10 of 138 plays (7%) on plays when their QB was pressured last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Raiders ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders scored on 26% of their drives (47/184) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Raiders averaged just 1.1 yards per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense allowed 6.7 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Dolphins defense allowed a Completion Pct of 76% (150 completions/198 attempts) on 1st down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 56% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Dolphins defense allowed a passer rating of 111.8 first read passes (263 Pass Attempts) last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 98.5.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 46% of plays on 3rd down last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Raiders defense allowed just 4.0 yards per play on contested throws last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
51% of the plays ran against the Raiders were in their own territory last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Raiders defense allowed 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (485 yards / 176 touches) in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.0.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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