Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

min read
(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:38 PM
  • The Eagles are -5.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Tampa.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

Bet now on Buccaneers vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles-5.5 -11046 -110-225
Buccaneers +5.5 -11046 -110+185

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 3 game with 69.2% confidence.

Eagles vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Buccaneers vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Quez Watkins has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 88% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Chris Godwin has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have scored first in 18 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles went 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • Eagles are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 45.98% ROI
  • Eagles are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Eagles are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 117.02% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Eagles were undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .362.

The Eagles are undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Eagles were 7-1 (.875) on the road in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Buccaneers were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Buccaneers were undefeated (3-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .593.

The Buccaneers were 1-5 (.167) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have thrown for just 6.4 yards per attempt since the 2022 season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.7 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL.

Buccaneers RBs have averaged 8.8 targets per game since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — highest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 5.8 receptions per game to RBs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

The Buccaneers have 15 touchdown passes since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fifth-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 16 passing TDs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for most in NFL.

Eagles RBs have just 15.8 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have averaged just 23.5 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL.

Eagles WRs have 24 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 32 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for second-most in NFL.

Eagles WRs have averaged 5.3 yards after the catch since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 5.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — second-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have 12 of 37 (32%) first downs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 56% of plays (15 carries/27 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles rushed for 32 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have 25 of 37 (68%) first downs have come on the ground (68%) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers did not convert a first down on 11 plays (0%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (369 carries/1,158 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

26 of the Buccaneers offense’s 31 (84%) TDs came through the air in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed 7 TD passes this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of just 39.5 on 3rd and long (65 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 78.1.

The Eagles defense has allowed 3.5 TD passes per game (7/2) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.3.

The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (70/626) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 22% of plays this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 23% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense have forced three and outs on 26% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed 516 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Buccaneers vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting.

From future like AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds to weekly betting on spreads, moneylines and parlays, there are thousands of opportunities for all fans.

And with the best sportsbook promos, you can get bigger potential payouts, Bonus Bets and more.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM Sportsbook iOS app or BetMGM Google Play app — to start betting!

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.