Eagles vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2022, 2:17 PM
  • The Eagles (8-1) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Colts (4-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-6) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Eagles vs. Colts Over/Under is total points for the game.

Bet now on Colts vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles
Colts

Eagles vs. Colts Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 11 game with 76.3% confidence.

Eagles vs Colts Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 11 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Colts vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 72% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI).

  • Eagles are 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 9.26% ROI
  • Eagles are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Eagles are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 4-6 (-2.45 Units / -22.79% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -6.44% ROI
  • Colts are 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Colts are 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Eagles are 8-1 (.889) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 18 times this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .585.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Colts are 1-3-1 (.200) on the road this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Colts are 2-4 (.333) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Colts are 6-11-1 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .485.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have scored on 28.4% of their drives this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed scores on 29.3% of opponent drives this season — third-best in NFL.

Colts RBs have averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.

Colts QBs have been 36 sacked this season — tied for most in NFL. The Eagles have sacked the quarterback 29 times this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Eagles went three and out on 30% of their drives last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Colts forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 10 — best in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 25.5% of their drives in the second half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 27.3% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Eagles RBs have averaged just 4.8 yards after the catch since Week 7 — worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 6.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 7 — fifth-best in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Eagles have run the ball on 46% of plays (54 carries/117 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles threw the ball 46% of the time (495 Pass Attempts/1,077 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (130 carries/338 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have rushed for 17 TDs this season — most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Colts have gone three and out 14 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Colts are averaging 14.8 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Colts have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Colts are averaging 24.0 drives per TD in the 1st half since Week 7 — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 9.0 when they have pressured the QB (49 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51.5.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense allowed no passing TDs (29 pass attempts) in Week 10 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 21.6.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 58.3 when blitzing (70 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.5.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 47 of 281 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Colts vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.