Eagles vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Eagles (8-1) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Colts (4-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-6) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Eagles vs. Colts Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles
Colts

Eagles vs. Colts Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 11 game with 76.3% confidence.

Eagles vs Colts Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 11 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 72% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI).

  • Eagles are 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 9.26% ROI
  • Eagles are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Eagles are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 4-6 (-2.45 Units / -22.79% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -6.44% ROI
  • Colts are 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Colts are 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Eagles are 8-1 (.889) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 18 times this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .585.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Colts are 1-3-1 (.200) on the road this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Colts are 2-4 (.333) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Colts are 6-11-1 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .485.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have scored on 28.4% of their drives this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed scores on 29.3% of opponent drives this season — third-best in NFL.

Colts RBs have averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.

Colts QBs have been 36 sacked this season — tied for most in NFL. The Eagles have sacked the quarterback 29 times this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Eagles went three and out on 30% of their drives last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Colts forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 10 — best in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 25.5% of their drives in the second half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 27.3% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Eagles RBs have averaged just 4.8 yards after the catch since Week 7 — worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 6.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 7 — fifth-best in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Eagles have run the ball on 46% of plays (54 carries/117 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles threw the ball 46% of the time (495 Pass Attempts/1,077 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (130 carries/338 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have rushed for 17 TDs this season — most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Colts have gone three and out 14 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Colts are averaging 14.8 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Colts have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Colts are averaging 24.0 drives per TD in the 1st half since Week 7 — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 9.0 when they have pressured the QB (49 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51.5.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense allowed no passing TDs (29 pass attempts) in Week 10 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 21.6.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 58.3 when blitzing (70 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.5.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 47 of 281 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) this season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.