- The Eagles are -4 point favorites vs the Patriots
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Foxborough.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Eagles vs. Patriots Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Eagles vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eagles | -4 -110 | 45 -110 | -190 |
| Patriots | +4 -110 | 45 -110 | +155 |
Eagles vs. Patriots Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 1 game with 71.0% confidence.
Eagles vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Quez Watkins has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- DeVonta Smith has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- A.J. Brown has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 84% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Eagles
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +650 |
| Jalen Hurts | +750 |
| AJ Brown | +900 |
| Devonta Smith | +1100 |
| Dallas Goedert | +1200 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Eagles
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | -140 |
| Jalen Hurts | +100 |
| AJ Brown | +125 |
| Devonta Smith | +170 |
| Rashaad Penny | +180 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Eagles
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | 67.5 -115 | 67.5 -115 |
| Dallas Goedert | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -120 |
| DeVonta Smith | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Eagles
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -120 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -120 |
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have scored first in 16 of their last 21 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Eagles are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -54.05% ROI
- Eagles are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Eagles are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Patriots went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Patriots are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -26.67% ROI
- Patriots are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Patriots are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Eagles were undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Eagles were 12-3 (.800) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Patriots turned the ball over 26 times last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .538.
The Eagles were 8-1 (.889) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Patriots were winless (0-4) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.
The Patriots were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Patriots were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Patriots were 5-2 (.714) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots ran successful plays on just 19.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles had pressured opposing QBs on 28.4% of passing plays last season — best in NFL.
Patriots RBs averaged just 4.3 yards after the catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed just 6.1 yards after catch per reception to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Patriots turned the ball over 26 times last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Eagles forced 27 turnovers last season — tied for third-most in NFL.
Eagles RBs averaged just 1.5 yards after contact per carry last season — third-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed just 1.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs last season — best in NFL.
Eagles WRs had 235.5 receiving yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Patriots averaged 193.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Eagles threw for 1,173 passing yards in 4 games (293.2 YPG) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Patriots allowed 266.0 passing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles have rushed for 57 TDs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Eagles ran the ball on 41% of plays (91 carries/222 plays) on 3rd down in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Eagles have run the ball on 38% of plays (167 carries/443 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Eagles rushed for 32 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots ran successful plays on 34% of plays in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 34% of plays in close and late situations in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (70/626) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of just 39.5 on 3rd and long (65 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 78.1.
The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (41/277) in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Eagles defense sacked opponents 70 times in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 22% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
Only 30% of the plays ran against the Patriots were in their own territory in close and late situations in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Patriots defense has allowed a passer rating of just 47.0 on 3rd and long (171 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 80.0.
The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 35% of plays in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
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