- The Lions are -3 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Atlanta Falcons (2-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit.
The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Falcons vs. Lions Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Falcons | +3 -105 | 46.5 -110 | +140 |
| Lions | -3 -115 | 46.5 -110 | -165 |
Falcons vs. Lions Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 3 game with 65.8% confidence.
Falcons vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons went 1-1 (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Falcons are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
- Falcons are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Lions are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -14.06% ROI
- Lions are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Lions are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Falcons were winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .623.
The Falcons were 1-7 (.125) on the road in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Falcons were 6-10 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Lions were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .387.
The Lions are 4-2 (.667) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .342.
The Lions were winless (0-5) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Lions were 1-7 (.125) when committing 1 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.
Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have run successful plays on 50.5% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. Falcons have allowed successful plays on 49.4% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL.
Lions QBs have been 27 sacked since the 2022 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Falcons have sacked the quarterback 24 times since the 2022 season — second-fewest in NFL.
The Lions have turned the ball over 5 times since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fewest in NFL. The Falcons have forced 5 turnovers since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Falcons have run successful plays on 48.1% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. Lions have allowed successful plays on 47.9% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Falcons have been successful on 45.7% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. Lions have allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.3% of plays since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs have 15 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2022 season — fourth-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed 24 rushing TDs since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons threw the ball 31% of the time (139 Pass Attempts/450 plays) on 1st down in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Falcons threw the ball 37% of the time (298 Pass Attempts/797 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Falcons ran the ball on 54% of plays (549 carries/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions have gone three and out on 3% of their drives in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Lions went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Lions committed 15 turnovers in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
The Lions had an average drive start position from the 31.9 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.8.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 27.7 pass attempts (582 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) in the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (42/1,241) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 29.5 pass attempts (1,241 Pass Attempts/42 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.4.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 74 pass attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.7.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (140 Pass Attempts/1,183 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense allowed 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,935 yards / 830 touches) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Lions defense has allowed 4 TD passes in the red zone this season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Lions defense has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (7,661 yards / 931 touches) since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
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