Falcons vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10, TNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 5:00 PM
  • The Falcons (5-7) are point favorites vs the Panthers (4-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Atlanta Falcons (4-5) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (2-7) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Charlotte.

The Falcons are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Panthers Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Falcons vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Falcons-2.5 -11041.5 -110-145
Panthers +2.5 -11041.5 -110+120

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 10 game with 58.8% confidence.

Falcons vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 10 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Falcons

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Cordarrelle Patterson +650
D'Onta Foreman +700
Chuba Hubbard +800
DJ Moore +900
Tyler Allgeier +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Falcons

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Cordarrelle Patterson +110
D'Onta Foreman +120
DJ Moore +150
Chuba Hubbard +170
Tyler Allgeier +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Kyle Pitts 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
Terrace Marshall Jr. 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Tommy Tremble 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
Olamide Zaccheaus 22.5 -120 22.5 -110
Cordarrelle Patterson 7.5 -110 7.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Marcus Mariota 29.5 -120 29.5 -110
Tyler Allgeier 32.5 -120 32.5 -110
P.J. Walker 6.5 -120 6.5 -110
D'Onta Foreman 55.5 -110 55.5 -120
Cordarrelle Patterson 55.5 -115 55.5 -115
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 6-3 (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).

  • Falcons are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Falcons are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Falcons are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Panthers are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Panthers are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Panthers are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Falcons are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .627.

The Falcons are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2020 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .653.

The Falcons are 4-3 (.571) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .777.

The Falcons are 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .449.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Panthers are 2-15 (.118) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Panthers are 2-14 (.125) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Panthers are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 17.5% of pass attempts this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 11.6% of passing plays this season — worst in NFL.

The Panthers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 6.7% of pass attempts last week — third-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 4.7% of passing plays in Week 9 — worst in NFL.

Panthers RBs have 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 6 — tied for most in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 6 rushing TDs since Week 6 — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Falcons were successful on 58.3% of plays they have run last week — second-best in NFL. Panthers allowed their opponents to be successful on 65.7% of plays in Week 9 — worst in NFL.

Falcons RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 12 rushing TDs this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

Falcons RBs have averaged 5.7 touches per game in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Falcons have converted first downs on 13 of 20 plays (65%) on plays up the middle since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Falcons have thrown the ball 38% of the time (201 Pass Attempts/525 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Falcons have targeted WRs 47% of the time (360 Pass Attempts/774 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Falcons ran successful plays on 36% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Panthers have run successful plays on 18% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Panthers have not recorded a TD in 22 drives in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.4.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 1st half in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Panthers are averaging 17.0 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.

The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 32.3 pass attempts (968 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.7.

The Falcons defense has allowed successful plays on 58% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Falcons defense has hurried opposing QBs on 4% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

Only 12% of the plays ran against the Panthers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.