Falcons vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:40 AM
  • The Rams (0-1) are -10 point favorites vs the Falcons (0-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Atlanta Falcons (0-1) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Rams are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Rams Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Falcons vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Atlanta Falcons+10 -11046.5 -110+375
Los Angeles Rams -10 -11046.5 -110-500

Falcons vs. Rams Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rams will win this Week 2 game with 80.0% confidence.

Falcons vs Rams Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 2 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Rams, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Calvin Ridley has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Kyle Pitts 46.5 -115 46.5 -110
Tyler Higbee 38.5 -115 38.5 -110
Cooper Kupp 92.5 -115 92.5 -115
Allen Robinson II 51.5 -115 51.5 -115
Darrell Henderson Jr. 18.5 -110 18.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Darrell Henderson Jr. 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
Matthew Stafford 1.5 -125 1.5 -105
Marcus Mariota 34.5 -110 34.5 -115
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Falcons are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Falcons are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Falcons are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Rams are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rams are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rams are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Falcons were winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .638.

The Falcons were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Falcons are winless (0-3) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .640.

The Falcons were 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Rams were 3-2 (.600) when rushing less than 20 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Rams were 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Falcons averaged just 1.1 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.

The Rams were undefeated (8-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .533.

The Rams are 16-5 (.762) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2020 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 261.3 passing yards per game since the 2020 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams scored on 45.1% of their drives last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Falcons defense allowed scores on 42.9% of opponent drives last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Rams threw 41 touchdown passes last season — second-most in NFL. The Falcons allowed 31 passing TDs last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Rams ran 19.3% offensive plays in the red zone last season — third-best in NFL. Falcons allowed their opponent to run 17.2% of plays in the red zone last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Falcons were successful on 54.9% of plays they have run last week — second-best in NFL. Rams allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.4% of plays in Week 1 — third-worst in NFL.

The Falcons went three and out on 7.7% of their drives last week — tied for fifth-best in NFL. Rams forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in Week 1 — tied for worst in NFL.

The Falcons have run successful plays on just 37.8% of rush attempts since the 2020 season — second-worst in NFL. Rams have allowed successful plays on just 40.2% of rush attempts since the 2020 season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Falcons are averaging 8.1 drives per TD in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Falcons ran the ball on 15% of plays (32 carries/211 plays) on 3rd down last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Falcons ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Falcons ran 997 plays last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams had a third down conversion rate of 59% against the blitz last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Rams allowed a QB hit on 37% of pass attempts in Week 1 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams converted first downs on 28 of 80 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.

The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 28.7 pass attempts (631 Pass Attempts/22 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.0.

The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Falcons defense pressured opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams’ opponents averaged 36.7 Passing Attempts per TD (624 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) last season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 90% in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 71.5 in the red zone (79 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.