Falcons vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Ravens (9-5) are -7.5 point favorites vs the Falcons (5-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Atlanta Falcons (5-9) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (9-5) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Ravens Over/Under is 34.5 total points for the game.

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Falcons vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Falcons+6.5 -11034.5 -110+240
Ravens -6.5 -11034.5 -110-300

Falcons vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 16 game with 71.0% confidence.

Falcons vs Ravens Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 16 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tyler Huntley has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+5.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Tyler Huntley has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name 1st TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins +550
Mark Andrews +600
Cordarrelle Patterson +750
Gus Edwards +800
Tyler Allgeier +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins -105
Mark Andrews +110
Cordarrelle Patterson +130
Tyler Allgeier +145
Gus Edwards +170

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Mycole Pruitt 8.5 -120 8.5 -110
Parker Hesse 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Cordarrelle Patterson 6.5 -120 6.5 -110
Olamide Zaccheaus 20.5 -120 20.5 -110
Drake London 43.5 -115 43.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name Over Under
Tyler Huntley 33.5 -115 33.5 -115
Cordarrelle Patterson 46.5 -120 46.5 -110
Tyler Allgeier 56.5 -115 56.5 -115
J.K. Dobbins 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
Gus Edwards 41.5 -115 41.5 -115
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Falcons are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -23.82% ROI
  • Falcons are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Falcons are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 5-8 (-3.95 Units / -25.48% ROI).

  • Ravens are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Ravens are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Falcons are winless (0-4) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Falcons are winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.

The Falcons are 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Falcons are 1-6 (.143) on the road this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.

The Ravens are 4-2 (.667) at home this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .550.

The Ravens are 7-3 (.700) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Ravens are 8-4 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have run successful plays on 51.3% of rush attempts this season — second-best in NFL. Falcons have allowed successful plays on 49.8% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on 51.6% of rush attempts since Week 12 — fifth-best in NFL. Falcons have allowed successful plays on 58.1% of rush attempts since Week 12 — worst in NFL.

Ravens TEs have 98 receptions in 14 games (7.0 per game) this season — second-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 5.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Falcons have gone three and out on 5% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — second-best in NFL. Ravens have forced three and outs on 4.8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.

The Falcons have scored on 38.9% of their drives in late and close games this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 51.5% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Falcons have thrown the ball 40% of the time (326 Pass Attempts/815 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Falcons ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Falcons have run the ball on 55% of plays (448 carries/815 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Falcons have thrown the ball 29% of the time (107 Pass Attempts/367 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Ravens have targeted TEs 39% of the time (158 Pass Attempts/406 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 17% of the time (19 Pass Attempts/110 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 33% of the time (331 Pass Attempts/1,017 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted WRs 42% of the time (172 Pass Attempts/406 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (37/1,082) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 25.7 pass attempts (489 Pass Attempts/19 Sacks) this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.

The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Falcons defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

30% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Ravens defense has stuffed 40% (6/15) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

23% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Ravens defense allowed 74 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.