Falcons vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:38 AM
  • The Seahawks (1-1) are -1 point favorites vs the Falcons (0-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Atlanta Falcons (0-2) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Seattle.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Seahawks vs Falcons & all NFL games with BetMGM

Falcons vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Atlanta Falcons+1 -11043.5 -110-105
Seattle Seahawks -1 -11043.5 -110-115

Falcons vs. Seahawks Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this Week 3 game with 51.7% confidence.

Falcons vs Seahawks Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 3 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Seahawks, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Firkser has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Bryan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Interceptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Falcons

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Cordarrelle Patterson +650
    Rashaad Penny +800
    Tyler Lockett +900
    DK Metcalf +900
    Kyle Pitts +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Falcons

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Cordarrelle Patterson +100
    Rashaad Penny +120
    DK Metcalf +135
    Tyler Lockett +140
    Kyle Pitts +170

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Falcons

    Player Name Over Under
    Fant 21.5 -115 21.5 -115
    Drake London 53.5 -115 53.5 -110
    Olamide Zaccheaus 22.5 -115 22.5 -115
    DK Metcalf 55.5 -115 55.5 -115
    Tyler Lockett 59.5 -115 59.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Falcons

    Player Name Over Under
    Geno Smith 8.5 -115 8.5 -110
    Marcus Mariota 28.5 -110 28.5 -120
    Rashaad Penny 48.5 -110 48.5 -120
    Cordarrelle Patterson 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
    Rashaad Penny 49.5 -115 49.5 -115
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • Falcons are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Falcons are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
    • Falcons are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI

    Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Seahawks are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 67.5% ROI
    • Seahawks are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
    • Seahawks are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI

    Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

    The Falcons were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    The Falcons were winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .638.

    The Falcons were 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.

    The Falcons were winless (0-5) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

    Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

    The Seahawks were 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

    The Seahawks were winless (0-8) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.

    The Seahawks were 1-5 (.167) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.

    The Seahawks were 2-6 (.250) when making less than 7 explosive plays last season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .409.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks

    The Seahawks have run successful plays on 43.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 17.1% of passing plays this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

    Seahawks WRs have averaged just 1.7 yards after the catch this season — second-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 2.6 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — third-best in NFL.

    The Falcons have gone three and out on 8.7% of their drives this season — tied for third-best in NFL. Seahawks have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.

    The Falcons ran 60.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — best in NFL. Seahawks allowed their opponents to run56.3% of plays in their territory in Week 2 — fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Falcons have run 19.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season — third-best in NFL. Seahawks has allowed their opponent to run 23.0% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL.

    Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Falcons ran successful plays on 35% of rush attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Falcons have run successful plays on 64% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Falcons have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

    The Falcons ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Seahawks have run successful plays on 10% of plays in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Seahawks have not recorded a TD in 8 drives in the 2nd half this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

    The Seahawks have run 1,039 plays since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

    The Seahawks did not record a TD in 9 drives in Week 2 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

    Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.

    The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 29.0 pass attempts (668 Pass Attempts/23 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.

    The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    The Falcons defense has pressured opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

    Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Seahawks defense has allowed scores on 70% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

    The Seahawks defense has not forced a three and out this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

    The Seahawks defense has allowed 7 first down receptions on 3rd and short this season — most in NFL.

    The Seahawks defense allowed 61.4 receiving yards per game (1,044/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36.4.

    Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Seahawks vs Falcons and all NFL games with BetMGM

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.