Steelers-Falcons: First & Anytime TD Odds & Picks – Week 1

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You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Steelers-Falcons game this week.

Ahead of the Week 1 matchup on September 13, 2026 at Acrisure Stadium, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.

First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Steelers – Falcons

Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):

Player First TD Odds Pick
Bijan Robinson (ATL) +375 21.1%
Rico Dowdle (PIT) +500 16.7%
Jaylen Warren (PIT) +500 16.7%
D.K. Metcalf (PIT) +825 10.8%
Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT) +1000 9.1%
Drake London (ATL) +1050 8.7%
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1400 6.7%
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +1500 6.2%
Brian Robinson (ATL) +1550 6.1%
Darnell Washington (PIT) +1900 5.0%
Roman Wilson (PIT) +2000 4.8%
Jahan Dotson (ATL) +2500 3.8%
Olamide Zaccheaus (ATL) +4000 2.4%
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) +4500 2.2%
Austin Hooper (ATL) +4500 2.2%
Cooper Rush (ATL) +5500 1.8%

Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Steelers – Falcons

Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):

Player Anytime TD Odds Pick
Bijan Robinson (ATL) -140 58.1%
Rico Dowdle (PIT) +105 48.8%
Jaylen Warren (PIT) +110 47.6%
D.K. Metcalf (PIT) +188 34.7%
Drake London (ATL) +220 31.2%
Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT) +250 28.6%
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +320 23.8%
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +340 22.7%
Brian Robinson (ATL) +360 21.7%
Darnell Washington (PIT) +525 16.0%
Roman Wilson (PIT) +525 16.0%
Jahan Dotson (ATL) +675 12.9%
Olamide Zaccheaus (ATL) +1000 9.1%
Austin Hooper (ATL) +1350 6.9%
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) +1600 5.9%
Cooper Rush (ATL) +1750 5.4%
Charlie Woerner (ATL) +2500 3.8%

Will Bijan Robinson Score a TD This Week?

Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 58.1% chance Robinson scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.

Will Rico Dowdle Score a TD This Week?

Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 48.8% chance Dowdle scores a touchdown this week against the Falcons.

Will Jaylen Warren Score a TD This Week?

Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 47.6% chance Warren scores a touchdown this week against the Falcons.

Will D.K. Metcalf Score a TD This Week?

Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 34.7% chance Metcalf scores a touchdown this week against the Falcons.

Will Drake London Score a TD This Week?

Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 31.2% chance London scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.

First TD Scorer Trends

  • Rico Dowdle has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
  • Brian Robinson has scored the first touchdown seven times since the beginning of the 2022 season – equal-most among active Falcons players (including playoffs).
  • Drake London has scored the first touchdown seven times since the beginning of the 2022 season – equal-most among active Falcons players.
  • D.K. Metcalf has scored the first touchdown 12 times in his career – most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
  • Aaron Rodgers has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
  • Austin Hooper has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T3rd-most among active Falcons players (including playoffs).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T3rd-most among active Falcons players (including playoffs).
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
  • Kyle Pitts has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T3rd-most among active Falcons players.
  • Drake London scored the first touchdown on a 15-yard pass from Kirk Cousins in the Falcons’ last outing, a 19-17 win against the Saints.
  • Kyle Pitts scored the first touchdown on a 12-yard pass from Kirk Cousins in the Falcons’ last outing against the Steelers, an 18-10 loss.

First Touchdown Insights

  • The Steelers recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 18 games last season (including playoffs).
  • The Falcons recorded the first touchdown in seven of their 17 games last season.

First TD trends

  • The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in three of their last five home games (including playoffs).
  • The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against the Falcons.
  • The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last two games.

Rushing/Receiving Splits

  • The Steelers scored 16 rushing TDs from their 18 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 11 rushing TDs.
  • The Steelers allowed 26 passing TDs from their 18 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 31 passing TDs.
  • The Falcons scored 17 rushing TDs from their 17 games last season , while allowing 12 rushing TDs.
  • The Falcons allowed 19 passing TDs from their 17 games last season , while allowing 27 passing TDs.

Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Steelers odds and Falcons odds throughout the season.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.