Giants vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 6:48 PM

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Kick off for the 2024 NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High during the Denver Broncos v Pittsburgh Steelers during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 15, 2024 in Denver. (AP Photo/Bart Young)

(AP Photo/Bart Young)

The Broncos are -7 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 40 points
Watch this game on CBS

The New York Giants (2-4-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (4-2-0) on Oct. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Giants vs. Broncos Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Giants	+7 -110	40 -110	260
Broncos	-7 -110	40 -110	-325

Giants vs. Broncos Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 74.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Broncos Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Giants

Player Name	Over	Under
Wan'Dale Robinson (NYG)	44.5 -115	44.5 -115
Courtland Sutton (DEN)	54.5 -110	54.5 -118
Evan Engram (DEN)	27.5 -115	27.5 -118
Theo Johnson (NYG)	27.5 -110	27.5 -118
Cam Skattebo (NYG)	14.5 -110	14.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Giants

Player Name	Over	Under
Cam Skattebo (NYG)	56.5 -118	56.5 -110
Bo Nix (DEN)	17.5 -118	17.5 -110
Jaxson Dart (NYG)	43.5 -110	43.5 -118

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+4.34 Units / 24% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 20% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 17% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 17% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.14 Units / 96% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Giants are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 24.17% ROI
Giants are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Giants are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 2-4 (-2.3 Units / -35.38% ROI).

Broncos are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 16.4% ROI
Broncos are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Broncos are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Broncos defense sacked opposing QBs on 35% of pass attempts (9/26) in Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

Only 35% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Broncos defense has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (93/888) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Broncos defense has sacked opponents 93 times since the 2024 season — most in NFL.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Broncos ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 6 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Broncos have gone three and out 6 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have run the ball on 18% of plays (15 carries/82 plays) on 3rd down this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 35% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos