Giants vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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Cleveland Browns' Denzel Ward (21) plays during an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, in Landover, Md. Browns top cornerback Denzel Ward cleared concussion protocol and will start in Sunday's season opener against Cincinnati, giving Cleveland's secondary its best player as it tries to stop Joe Burrow and his trio of receivers.
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr., File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 4:04 PM
  • The Browns are -6.5 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The New York Giants (0-2-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Browns are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Giants vs. Browns Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+6.5 -10538.5 -110+240
Browns -6.5 -11538.5 -110-300

Giants vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Jerome Ford (CLE) 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
Amari Cooper (CLE) 48.5 -110 48.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Jerome Ford (CLE) 56.5 -115 56.5 -115
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored first in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Giants are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 8.89% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants were 2-7 (.222) on the road last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Giants are 2-8 (.200) on the road since the 2022 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .446.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Browns are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have averaged just 2.1 sacks per game over that time span — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Browns are 4-2 (.667) when not forcing a turnover since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .254.

The Browns were 8-3 (.727) when playing in cold weather last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have run successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 42.3% of pass attempts against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Browns have run successful plays on just 30.5% of pass attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 29.3% of pass attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Browns have turned the ball over 40 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL. The Giants have forced 32 turnovers since the 2023 season — 5th-most in NFL.

The Giants have averaged just -0.18 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just -0.11 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 33.0% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.3% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 35.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 34.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants have run successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.

The Giants have averaged -0.24 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns have run successful plays on 27% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Browns averaged -0.19 epa per play on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed scores on 88% of opponent drives in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Giants defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 144.3 when they have pressured the QB (8 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 57.3.

The Giants defense has allowed 6.7 yards per dropback (1,139 yards/171 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 12% of plays on contested throws since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

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About the Author

BetMGM Betting

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.