Giants vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:46 AM
  • The Jaguars (2-4) are -3 point favorites vs the Giants (5-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New York Giants (5-1) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Giants vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Giants +3 -110 43 -110 +135
Jaguars -3 -110 43 -110 -160

Giants vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 7 game with 57.0% confidence.

Giants vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 7 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Daniel Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Kadarius Toney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)

 

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 48% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Christian Kirk 50.5 -120 50.5 -110
Zay Jones 41.5 -115 41.5 -115
Evan Engram 30.5 -115 30.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Daniel Jones 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Saquon Barkley 76.5 -115 76.5 -115
Travis Etienne 50.5 -120 50.5 -110
Trevor Lawrence 14.5 -110 14.5 -120

 

  • The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+8.05 Units / 118% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)

 

 

  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+7.80 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.30 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 71% ROI)

 

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 5-1 (+3.9 Units / 60% ROI).

  • Giants are 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 118.38% ROI
  • Giants are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI
  • Giants are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 2-4 (-2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -30.49% ROI
  • Jaguars are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.75 Units / 26.32% ROI
  • Jaguars are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.64% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Giants are 3-1 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .413.

The Giants are 1-7 (.125) since Week 11 — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 1-2 (.333) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

The Giants are 5-8-1 (.357) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .446.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Jaguars are winless (0-14) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

The Jaguars are 2-4 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .756.

The Jaguars are winless (0-7) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

The Jaguars are winless (0-11) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .388.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars RBs have averaged 9.1 yards after the catch this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 9.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

The Jaguars are averaging 4.7 yards per carry since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 5.0 yards per carry since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Jaguars are averaging 5.5 yards per carry this season — tied for best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 6.1 yards per carry this season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 54.2% in the fourth quarter this season — tied for best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 70.4% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.

Giants RBs have averaged 6.6 touches per game in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Giants have gained at least 5 yards on just 38.3% of first down plays this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed at least 5 yards on just 38.8% of first down plays this season — third-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 37 of their 781 total passing attempts (5%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants are averaging 15.2 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Jaguars have run 40% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Jaguars have run 38% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Jaguars had a third down conversion rate of 31% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Jaguars ran 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

Offenses facing the Giants targeted TEs 31% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/217 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 10% of the time (22 Pass Attempts/217 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 9% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Giants defense has allowed one rushing TD on 22 carries in the red zone this season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Jaguars defense has allowed 10.0 receptions per game (60/6) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

The Jaguars defense has allowed 69.3 receiving yards per game (416/6) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36.8.

The Jaguars defense has averaged a sack every 53.5 pass attempts (214 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) since Week 3 — 3rd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.8.

The Jaguars defense has allowed 11.2 receptions per game (45/4) to RBs since Week 3 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.