Giants vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2022, 9:12 AM
  • The Packers (3-1) are -8 point favorites vs the Giants (3-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The New York Giants (3-1) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-1) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in London.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Giants vs. Packers Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

Bet now on Packers vs Giants & all NFL games with BetMGM

Giants vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+8 -11042 -110+300
Packers -8 -11042 -110-375

Giants vs. Packers Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 5 game with 72.8% confidence.

Giants vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 5 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kadarius Toney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Randall Cobb has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.80 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josiah Deguara has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Marcedes Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Giants

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Aaron Jones +300
    Saquon Barkley +600
    Allen Lazard +700
    AJ Dillon +700
    Romeo Doubs +750

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Giants

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Saquon Barkley -150
    Aaron Jones -140
    Allen Lazard +115
    AJ Dillon +115
    Romeo Doubs +130

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Giants

    Player Name Over Under
    Allen Lazard 45.5 -115 45.5 -115
    AJ Dillon 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
    Robert Tonyan 23.5 -115 23.5 -115
    Christian Watson 15.5 -110 15.5 -115
    Saquon Barkley 29.5 -115 29.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Giants

    Player Name Over Under
    Saquon Barkley 78.5 -115 78.5 -115
    Aaron Jones 58.5 -110 58.5 -115
    AJ Dillon 55.5 -110 55.5 -115
    Aaron Rodgers 1.5 -115 1.5 -110
    Daniel Jones 30.5 -110 30.5 -120
  • The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 44.19% ROI).

    • Giants are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 57.29% ROI
    • Giants are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
    • Giants are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI

    Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Packers are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 18.47% ROI
    • Packers are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
    • Packers are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

    New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

    The Giants are winless (0-6-1) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.

    The Giants are winless (0-8) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .195.

    The Giants are 2-11-1 (.143) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .452.

    The Giants were 1-6-1 (.125) vs top 10 run defenses last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

    Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

    The Packers are 14-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Giants have turned the ball over 37 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Packers are 6-3 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .282.

    The Packers are undefeated (14-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .595.

    The Packers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .675.

    Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers

    The Packers have run 18.4% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL. Giants has allowed their opponent to run 17.3% of plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

    The Packers have run 51.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL. Giants have allowed their opponents to run 51.1% of plays in their territory since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

    Packers RBs have averaged 134.5 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 141.5 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Giants have a third down conversion rate of just 5.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — tied for best in NFL.

    The Giants have thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — second-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 168.0 passing yards per game this season — third-best in NFL.

    The Giants have a third down conversion rate of just 29.2% in the first half this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.7% in the first half this season — second-best in NFL.

    New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Giants have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half this season — tied for most in NFL.

    The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Giants are averaging 11.6 drives per TD in the 1st half since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

    The Giants have run successful plays on 38% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Packers have been flagged 35 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

    The Packers ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    The Packers ran successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 4 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

    The Packers have run successful plays on 53% of plays in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Giants defense has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

    The Giants defense sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (6/27) in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    The Giants defense has no interceptions (114 pass attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41.6.

    The Giants defense has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed since Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

    Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Packers defense has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Packers defense allowed an average time of possession of 25 min and 56 s last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 31 min 1s.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.