Giants vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

BetMGM Betting Dec 27, 2025, 11:11 AM

min read

Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)

(AP Photo/David Becker)

The Giants are +1.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The New York Giants (2-13-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-13-0) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Paradise, NV.

The Giants are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +1.5 (-110).

The Giants vs. Raiders Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Raiders vs Giants & all NFL games with BetMGM

Giants vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Giants vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this game with 52.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Raiders vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 57% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 91% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Raheem Mostert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 28% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 46% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 7-8 (-1.85 Units / -11.18% ROI).

Giants are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -51.94% ROI
Giants are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Giants are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 6-9 (-4 Units / -24.1% ROI).

Raiders are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -69.62% ROI
Raiders are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
Raiders are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

20% of the plays run against the Raiders have been in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Offenses facing the Raiders targeted TEs 18% of the time (83 Pass Attempts/463 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Raiders defense has blitzed on just 10% of plays this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 10 times in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

88% of the Giants offense’s first downs (7 of 8) came on the ground in Week 16 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 8% of pass attempts in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

12% of the Giants offense’s first downs (1 of 8) came through the air in Week 16 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders