- The Jaguars are -4.5 point favorites vs the Colts
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Colts Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | -4.5 -110 | 45 -110 | -225 |
| Colts | +4.5 -110 | 45 -110 | +180 |
Jaguars vs. Colts Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 1 game with 71.0% confidence.
Jaguars vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Jaguars
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | +600 |
| Deon Jackson | +700 |
| Anthony Richardson | +800 |
| Christian Kirk | +800 |
| Calvin Ridley | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | -125 |
| Deon Jackson | +105 |
| Christian Kirk | +125 |
| Anthony Richardson | +130 |
| Calvin Ridley | +140 |
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored last in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 59% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jaguars went 3-0 (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 53.1% ROI
- Jaguars are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Colts went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Colts are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 5.51% ROI
- Colts are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Colts are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) after a loss as favorites since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .630.
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) after a loss as favorites since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Jaguars were 9-4 (.692) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Colts turned the ball over 32 times last season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars are 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .766.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Colts were 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Colts were 1-4-1 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Colts were 3-10-1 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .478.
The Colts were 2-8-1 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts scored on 23.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 28.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Colts scored on 14.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 7.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Colts averaged just 3.9 yards per carry on 1st Down last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars allowed just 3.8 yards per carry on first down last season — third-best in NFL.
Jaguars WRs have 13 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline last season — tied for most in NFL. The Colts allowed 10 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs last season — second-most in NFL.
Jaguars WRs were targeted 25 times inside the 10 yardline last season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Colts allowed 10 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs last season — second-most in NFL.
The Jaguars were 9-4 (.692) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Colts turned the ball over 32 times last season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars were flagged 14 times for 10+ yards on offense in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars targeted WRs 69% of the time (57 Pass Attempts/82 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Jaguars converted first downs on 15 of 46 plays (33%) on plays when their QB was pressured in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Jaguars allowed a QB hit on 11% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts committed 32 turnovers in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Colts averaged 12.1 drives per TD in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
The Colts ran successful plays on 39% of rush attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Colts converted first downs on just 2 of 26 plays (8%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (9/168) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 53% in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Jaguars defense allowed 8.7 yards per dropback (745 yards/86 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
Offenses facing the Jaguars targeted RBs 22% of the time (133 Pass Attempts/601 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense allowed 43.7 Points per Game (131/3) on the road in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22.6.
The Colts defense missed 39 tackles in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Colts defense forced 6 fumbles in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed 33.8 Points per Game (135/4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.2.
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