Jaguars vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 4

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 30, 2022, 11:09 AM
  • The Eagles (3-0) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (2-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Eagles Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

Bet now on Eagles vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jaguars vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 4

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars+6.5 -11046 -110+220
Eagles -6.5 -11046 -110-275

Jaguars vs. Eagles Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 4 game with 64.0% confidence.

Jaguars vs Eagles Spread Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread this Week 4 with 68.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Christian Kirk 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
DeVonta Smith 57.5 -115 57.5 -110
A.J. Brown 75.5 -115 75.5 -115
Dallas Goedert 42.5 -115 42.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
James Robinson 50.5 -115 50.5 -115
Trevor Lawrence 11.5 -115 11.5 -110
Jalen Hurts 46.5 -115 46.5 -110
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.55 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 90% ROI
  • Jaguars are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Jaguars are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI).

  • Eagles are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 46.88% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Jaguars are winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .340.

The Jaguars are 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.

The Jaguars are winless (0-10) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

The Jaguars are 2-9 (.182) since Week 7 of 2021 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Eagles are winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Eagles were winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Eagles are winless (0-3) when getting 4 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have scored on 13.3% of their drives in the second half this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 17.6% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Eagles TEs have gained 212 yards on 13 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — second-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have turned the ball over 17 times since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Jaguars have forced 17 turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Jaguars have thrown for just 6.2 yards per attempt since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Jaguars have thrown for 20+ yards on 6 of 111 attempts this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed 20+ yards on just 4.0% of attempts this season — best in NFL.

The Jaguars have thrown for 20+ yards on 50 of 716 attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed 20+ yards on just 6.0% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Jaguars ran 56% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd quarter in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Jaguars have run 22% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Jaguars have thrown the ball 75% of the time (9 Pass Attempts/12 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for highest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars have converted first downs on just 51 of 219 plays (23%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Eagles have rushed for 6 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (916 yards/98 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.

The Eagles threw the ball 46% of the time (495 Pass Attempts/1,077 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles ran the ball on 50% of plays (540 carries/1,077 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Jaguars defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jaguars defense has 6 interceptions this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jaguars defense has not allowed a rushing TD this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 4

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense pressured opposing QBs 23 times in Week 3 — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense sacked opponents 9 times in Week 3 — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 10% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Eagles vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.