Jaguars vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Jaguars (4-7) are -1 point favorites vs the Lions (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (4-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).

The Jaguars vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Lions vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jaguars vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars-1 -10551.5 -110-110
Lions +1 -11551.5 -110-110

Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 13 game with 60.5% confidence.

Jaguars vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 13 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Lions vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 55% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Amon-Ra St. Brown 74.5 -120 74.5 -110
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have scored first in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -26.24% ROI
  • Jaguars are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
  • Jaguars are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 7-4 (+2.5 Units / 20.58% ROI).

  • Lions are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -18.22% ROI
  • Lions are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Lions are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Jaguars are winless (0-11) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Jaguars are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Jaguars are winless (0-18) on the road since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Lions are 3-3-1 (.429) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .732.

The Lions are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.

The Lions are 3-11-1 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Lions are 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions ran 25.4% offensive plays in the red zone last week — third-best in NFL. Jaguars allowed their opponent to run 29.9% of plays in the red zone in Week 12 — second-worst in NFL.

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 47.1% in the fourth quarter this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 57.5% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 46.2% against the blitz this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 51.7% when blitzing this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 27.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 27.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have run 49.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — third-best in NFL. Lions have allowed their opponents to run 47.5% of plays in their territory this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars are averaging 4.9 yards per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5.5 yards per carry this season — second-worst in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Jaguars have run 42% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Jaguars have not recorded a TD in 7 drives in the 1st quarter since Week 9 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 70% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Jaguars ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have faced a blitz 42% of the time on 3rd and short since Week 8 — tied for highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Lions ran 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

61% of the plays ran against the Jaguars were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 12 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Jaguars defense stuffed 37% (11/30) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Lions defense has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.8.

The Lions defense has averaged a sack every 66.0 pass attempts (132 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the red zone since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.5.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 86% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Lions vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.