- The Jaguars (4-7) are -1 point favorites vs the Lions (4-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (4-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Jaguars vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | -1 -105 | 51.5 -110 | -110 |
| Lions | +1 -115 | 51.5 -110 | -110 |
Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 13 game with 60.5% confidence.
Jaguars vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 13 with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Darrell Henderson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 55% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 74.5 -120 | 74.5 -110 |
Jaguars Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Lions Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have scored first in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).
- Jaguars are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -26.24% ROI
- Jaguars are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 7-4 (+2.5 Units / 20.58% ROI).
- Lions are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -18.22% ROI
- Lions are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Lions are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Jaguars are winless (0-11) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.
The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Jaguars are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Jaguars are winless (0-18) on the road since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Lions are 3-3-1 (.429) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .732.
The Lions are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.
The Lions are 3-11-1 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
The Lions are 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions ran 25.4% offensive plays in the red zone last week — third-best in NFL. Jaguars allowed their opponent to run 29.9% of plays in the red zone in Week 12 — second-worst in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 47.1% in the fourth quarter this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 57.5% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 46.2% against the blitz this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 51.7% when blitzing this season — third-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 27.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 27.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 49.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — third-best in NFL. Lions have allowed their opponents to run 47.5% of plays in their territory this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are averaging 4.9 yards per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5.5 yards per carry this season — second-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Jaguars have run 42% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Jaguars have not recorded a TD in 7 drives in the 1st quarter since Week 9 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 70% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 42% of the time on 3rd and short since Week 8 — tied for highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Lions ran 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
61% of the plays ran against the Jaguars were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 12 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.
The Jaguars defense stuffed 37% (11/30) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Lions defense has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.8.
The Lions defense has averaged a sack every 66.0 pass attempts (132 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the red zone since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.5.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 86% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
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