Jaguars vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:23 PM

min read

Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)

(AP Photo/David Becker)

The Jaguars are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-3-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-5-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Paradise, NV.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Jaguars vs. Raiders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Raiders vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jaguars vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Jaguars	-3 -115	45.5 -110	-175
Raiders	+3 -105	45.5 -110	145

Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 60.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jaguars vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Raiders vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Dyami Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Tim Patrick has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Brock Bowers has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.29 Units / 32% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.77 Units / 22% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

Jaguars are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 23.53% ROI
Jaguars are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Jaguars are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 2-5 (-3.6 Units / -46.15% ROI).

Raiders are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -37.95% ROI
Raiders are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Raiders are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have averaged -0.98 epa per play against tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 7 of 23 plays (30%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Raiders have averaged just 1.9 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Raiders defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 36% of first down plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

19% of the plays run against the Raiders have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 66% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders