Jaguars vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Titans (7-5) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (4-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville.

The Titans are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Jaguars vs. Titans Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Jaguars vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars+3.5 -11541.5 -110+155
Titans -3.5 -10541.5 -110-190

Jaguars vs. Titans Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this Week 14 game with 57.0% confidence.

Jaguars vs Titans Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread this Week 14 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Titans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Geoff Swaim has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 31% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Jaguars

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Derrick Henry +333
Travis Etienne +650
Christian Kirk +900
Robert Woods +1100
Dontrell Hilliard +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Jaguars

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry -275
Travis Etienne -110
Christian Kirk +130
Robert Woods +200
Treylon Burks +210

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Austin Hooper 21.5 -115 21.5 -120
Robert Woods 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
Travis Etienne 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Marvin Jones Jr. 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
Zay Jones 44.5 -115 44.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Ryan Tannehill 10.5 -110 10.5 -120
Trevor Lawrence 11.5 -115 11.5 -115
Travis Etienne 58.5 -120 58.5 -110
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -36.5% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -31.13% ROI
  • Jaguars are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • Jaguars are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 8-4 (+3.5 Units / 26.52% ROI).

  • Titans are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 13.06% ROI
  • Titans are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Titans are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are winless (0-19) on the road since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.

The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .777.

The Jaguars are winless (0-16) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .260.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Titans are winless (0-1) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

The Titans are 2-4 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.

The Titans are 3-1 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

Titans TEs have gained 604 yards on 51 receptions (11.8 YPR) this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — third-worst in NFL.

Titans TEs have 77.8 receiving yards per game since Week 10 — third-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed an average of87.3 receiving yards per game to TEs since Week 10 — worst in NFL.

Titans TEs have gained 311 yards on 26 receptions (12.0 YPR) since Week 10 — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs since Week 10 — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars are averaging just 3.5 yards per carry since Week 10 — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed just 3.3 yards per carry since Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Jaguars have scored on 12.5% of their drives in the first quarter since Week 10 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter since Week 10 — fifth-best in NFL.

Jaguars RBs have averaged just 50.3 rushing yards per game since Week 10 — third-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of just 75.2 rushing yards per game since Week 10 — third-best in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Jaguars ran 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars ran no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Jaguars have allowed a QB Hit on 11% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jaguars ran 31% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Titans have converted first downs on just 20 of 131 plays (15%) in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Titans have converted first downs on just 28 of 165 plays (17%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have run 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 89% of opponent drives in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed first downs on 60% of plays on 3rd and long since Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Jaguars defense have forced three and outs on 3% of opponent drives since Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Jaguars defense have allowed 49 broken tackles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Titans defense has allowed 22 of 27 (81%) TDs through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 29.5 on 3rd and short (25 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 102.6.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 28% in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Titans defense allowed 5 TDs in Week 13 — 2nd-most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.