Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Bills (9-3) are -9 point favorites vs the Jets (7-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The New York Jets visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Orchard Park.

The Bills are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Jets vs. Bills Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets+10 -11043.5 -110+350
Bills -10 -11043.5 -110-450

Jets vs. Bills Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 14 game with 79.8% confidence.

Jets vs Bills Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 14 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Jets

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Stefon Diggs +550
Josh Allen +800
Gabriel Davis +800
Zonovan Knight +900
Devin Singletary +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Jets

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Stefon Diggs -140
Gabriel Davis +125
Josh Allen +160
Devin Singletary +160
Zonovan Knight +160

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bills vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Dawson Knox 27.5 -115 27.5 -120
Garrett Wilson 62.5 -120 62.5 -110
Gabriel Davis 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Isaiah McKenzie 30.5 -120 30.5 -110
Corey Davis 38.5 -110 38.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bills vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Mike White 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
James Cook 34.5 -115 34.5 -115
Josh Allen 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
Devin Singletary 40.5 -115 40.5 -115
Michael Carter 22.5 -115 22.5 -120
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 14 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 7-5 (+1.4 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • Jets are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 62% ROI
  • Jets are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -20.75% ROI
  • Jets are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI

Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.77% ROI).

  • Bills are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.8% ROI
  • Bills are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Bills are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills

The Jets are 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for eighth-worst in NFL. The Bills have intercepted 13 passes this season — third-most in NFL.

The Jets are 6-3 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Bills have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Jets are 4-8 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .727.

The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Bills are winless (0-2) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .260.

The Bills are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.

The Bills are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .239.

The Bills are undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .562.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

The Bills have a third down conversion rate of 56.9% in the first half this season — best in NFL. The Jets defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47.8% in the first half this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Bills WRs have averaged just 2.6 yards after the catch since Week 10 — worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed just 2.3 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 10 — best in NFL.

The Jets ran successful plays on just 24.2% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Bills allowed successful plays on just 36.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 13 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Jets ran successful plays on just 36.2% of pass attempts last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Bills allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts in Week 13 — second-best in NFL.

The Jets have scored just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed just 3.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Jets ran 51% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Jets ran 59% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Jets have faced a blitz 31% of the time on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Bills have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Bills have an average drive start position from the 34.0 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.

The Bills have run 19% of their plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Bills ran 28% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.

The Jets defense allowed 29.6 points per game to opposing offenses (504 points / 17 games) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.0.

Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Bills defense allowed 0.7 TD passes per game (12/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Bills defense allowed first downs on 26% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Bills defense has allowed 3.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Bills defense allowed 12 TD passes last season — fewest in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.