- The Bills (9-3) are -9 point favorites vs the Jets (7-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The New York Jets visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Orchard Park.
The Bills are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Jets vs. Bills Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Jets | +10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +350 |
Bills | -10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -450 |
Jets vs. Bills Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 14 game with 79.8% confidence.
Jets vs Bills Spread Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 14 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Jets
Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
---|---|
Stefon Diggs | +550 |
Josh Allen | +800 |
Gabriel Davis | +800 |
Zonovan Knight | +900 |
Devin Singletary | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Jets
Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
Stefon Diggs | -140 |
Gabriel Davis | +125 |
Josh Allen | +160 |
Devin Singletary | +160 |
Zonovan Knight | +160 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bills vs Jets
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Dawson Knox | 27.5 -115 | 27.5 -120 |
Garrett Wilson | 62.5 -120 | 62.5 -110 |
Gabriel Davis | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
Isaiah McKenzie | 30.5 -120 | 30.5 -110 |
Corey Davis | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bills vs Jets
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Mike White | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
James Cook | 34.5 -115 | 34.5 -115 |
Josh Allen | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
Devin Singletary | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -115 |
Michael Carter | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -120 |
Jets Best Bets for Week 14:
- The New York Jets have scored last in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 85% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 74% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Bills Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 14 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 7-5 (+1.4 Units / 10.53% ROI).
- Jets are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 62% ROI
- Jets are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -20.75% ROI
- Jets are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.77% ROI).
- Bills are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.8% ROI
- Bills are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Bills are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Jets are 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for eighth-worst in NFL. The Bills have intercepted 13 passes this season — third-most in NFL.
The Jets are 6-3 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Bills have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for second-most in NFL.
The Jets are 4-8 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .727.
The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Bills are winless (0-2) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .260.
The Bills are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.
The Bills are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .239.
The Bills are undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .562.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
The Bills have a third down conversion rate of 56.9% in the first half this season — best in NFL. The Jets defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47.8% in the first half this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Bills WRs have averaged just 2.6 yards after the catch since Week 10 — worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed just 2.3 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 10 — best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on just 24.2% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Bills allowed successful plays on just 36.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 13 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on just 36.2% of pass attempts last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Bills allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts in Week 13 — second-best in NFL.
The Jets have scored just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed just 3.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Jets ran 51% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Jets ran 59% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Jets have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Jets have faced a blitz 31% of the time on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Bills have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Bills have an average drive start position from the 34.0 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.
The Bills have run 19% of their plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Bills ran 28% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.
The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.
The Jets defense allowed 29.6 points per game to opposing offenses (504 points / 17 games) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.0.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Bills defense allowed 0.7 TD passes per game (12/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Bills defense allowed first downs on 26% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Bills defense has allowed 3.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Bills defense allowed 12 TD passes last season — fewest in NFL.
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