Jets vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

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Russell Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett are struggling to live up to some lofty NFL betting odds in Denver.
(AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:34 AM
  • The Jets (4-2) are -1 point favorites vs the Broncos (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The New York Jets (4-2) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (2-4) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver.

The Jets are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).

The Jets vs. Broncos Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Jets -1 -105 38 -110 -110
Broncos +1 -115 38 -110 -110

Jets vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 7 game with 64.0% confidence.

Jets vs Broncos Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 7 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • C.J. Uzomah has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)

 

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)

 

 

  • The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)

 

 

  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)

 

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Jets are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 100% ROI
  • Jets are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • Jets are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Broncos are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -36.11% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI
  • Broncos are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.54% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Jets are 4-8 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .727.

The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Jets were winless (0-8) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Jets are 1-8 (.111) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Broncos are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .457.

The Broncos are winless (0-7) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Broncos are winless (0-7) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .226.

The Broncos are winless (0-3) since Week 3 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos

Broncos RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 3.3 yards after contact per carry this season — worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

The Jets have a third down conversion rate of just 32.3% this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 31.7% this season — third-best in NFL.

The Jets have been successful on just 38.8% of plays they have run this season — fifth-worst in NFL. Broncos have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 38.9% of plays this season — third-best in NFL.

The Jets have run successful plays on just 11.4% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Broncos have pressured opposing QBs on 28.2% of passing plays this season — fourth-best in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Jets have not recorded a TD in 18 drives in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.

The Jets have run 37% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets have run 82% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Jets have run 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Broncos are averaging 9.7 drives per TD this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos have scored 3.6 points per Red Zone drive since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos have scored 2.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.

The Broncos have not recorded a TD in 16 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Jets defense allowed 73 receptions for 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Jets defense allowed 28 rushing TDs last season — most in NFL.

The Jets defense stuffed 39% (13/33) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Broncos defense has allowed 316.8 yards from scrimmage per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 408.6.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 56.7 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 24.8.

The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.