Jets vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • The Cowboys are -9.5 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The New York Jets (1-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-0) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Arlington.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Jets vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets+8.5 -11038.5 -110+350
Cowboys -8.5 -11038.5 -110-450

Jets vs. Cowboys Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 2 game with 69.3% confidence.

Jets vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Jets

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Tony Pollard +325
CeeDee Lamb +550
Brandin Cooks +800
DAL Defense/Special Teams +1200
Deuce Vaughn +1400

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Jets

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Tony Pollard -140
CeeDee Lamb +105
Brandin Cooks +160
Garrett Wilson +220
Breece Hall +240

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Tony Pollard 19.5 -120 19.5 -115
CeeDee Lamb 60.5 -115 60.5 -115
Garrett Wilson 49.5 -115 49.5 -115
Tyler Conklin 22.5 -110 22.5 -120
Allen Lazard 34.5 -115 34.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Zach Wilson 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
Dak Prescott 12.5 -115 12.5 -115
Tony Pollard 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Breece Hall 36.5 -120 36.5 -110
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.45 Units / 44% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Jets are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 120% ROI
  • Jets are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Jets are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 1-0 (+1 Units / 83.33% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 60.61% ROI
  • Cowboys are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Cowboys are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Jets are 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — eighth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have intercepted 18 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Jets were winless (0-9) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.

The Jets are 5-12 (.294) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .657.

The Jets were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .503.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Cowboys are 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jets has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 6 s since the 2022 season — fifth-highest in NFL.

The Cowboys were undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .618.

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Cowboys are undefeated (4-0) after a home loss since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .456.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jets has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 6 s since the 2022 season — fifth-highest in NFL.

The Jets have been successful on just 37.1% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.7% of plays since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Jets have run successful plays on just 20.3% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have pressured opposing QBs on 28.5% of passing plays since the 2022 season — second-best in NFL.

The Jets have scored just 3.8 points per Red Zone drive since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive since the 2022 season — tied for third-best in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 23.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.

The Jets faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Jets have faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Jets are averaging 24.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.2.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys started 19 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have started 16 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys ran 33% of their plays in the red zone in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys scored 5.0 points per Red Zone drive in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Only 5% of the plays run against the Jets have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Offenses facing the Jets targeted WRs 50% of the time (280 Pass Attempts/556 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense has forced 24 fumbles since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has averaged 1.3 interceptions per game (44/35) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense has averaged a turnover percentage of 3% (71 / 2,250) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.

The Cowboys defense forced 21 fumbles in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.