Jets vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

A stadium view of Tennessee Titans' Nissan Field as fans begin to arrive before an NFL football game against the ,Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
Betting Promos This Weekend
  • The Titans are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 39 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The New York Jets (0-0-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Nashville, TN.

The Titans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-102).

The Jets vs. Titans Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets+2.5 -13039 -108+105
Titans -2.5 -10239 -120-125

Jets vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Titans will win this game with 50.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jets vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

  • Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Cameron Ward has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Cameron Ward has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Tyjae Spears has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyjae Spears has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Rush Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Jets

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Breece Hall +105
Tony Pollard +135
Garrett Wilson +200
Tyjae Spears +220
Braelon Allen +250

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Garrett Wilson 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
Carnell Tate 41.5 -111 41.5 -118
Wan'Dale Robinson 41.5 -115 41.5 -115
Adonai Mitchell 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Calvin Ridley 25.5 -120 25.5 -111

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Breece Hall 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
Tony Pollard 53.5 -115 53.5 -115
Tyjae Spears 21.5 -120 21.5 -110
Braelon Allen 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Cam Ward 8.5 -115 8.5 -115
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+5.14 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jets were 1-12 (.077) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .375.

The Jets were 1-8 (.111) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.

The Jets were winless (0-6) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Jets were 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Titans were 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Titans were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Titans were 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.

The Titans were winless (0-3) after a win last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .578.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans were successful on 57.1% of rush attempts with motion last week — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 74.1% on rush attempts against motion last week — 2nd-highest in NFL.

The Titans went three and out on 29.5% of their drives in the second half last season — highest in NFL. The Jets forced three and outs on 28.6% of opponent drives in the second half last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Titans had a third down conversion rate of just 31.6% in the fourth quarter last season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Jets defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 23.6% in the 4th quarter last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Jets had a third down conversion rate of just 10.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Titans defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Jets threw the ball 10 yards or less 82.3% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL. The Titans allowed 6.8 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-highest in NFL.

The Jets have thrown the ball 58.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Titans have allowed a completion rate of 65.3% when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 3rd-highest in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 13.0 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

The Jets averaged just 4.3 yards per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Jets averaged just 0.8 yards per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.7.

The Jets started 30 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans averaged -0.19 epa per play on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Titans ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Titans ran successful plays on 31% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans ran 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense allowed 2.2 TDs per game (37/17) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.2.

The Jets defense allowed 0.60 epa per play open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.

The Jets defense allowed a passer rating of 137.9 against play action passes (150 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.

The Jets defense allowed a passer rating of 137.1 open coverage (228 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 120.8.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 56% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Titans defense allowed a passer rating of 126.9 on motion plays (261 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 96.4.

The Titans defense allowed a passer rating of 116.6 on 3rd down (131 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 84.6.

Offenses facing the Titans targeted RBs 14% of the time (71 Pass Attempts/514 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.