Lions vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The Bears (3-9) are point favorites vs the Lions (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Detroit Lions (2-6) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-6) on Nov. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago.

The Bears are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Lions vs. Bears Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Lions+3 -11048.5 -110+130
Bears -3 -11048.5 -110-155

Lions vs. Bears Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bears will win this Week 10 game with 67.5% confidence.

Lions vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 10 with 66.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).

  • Lions are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Lions are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Lions are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5% ROI).

  • Bears are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Bears are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Bears are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Lions are 3-14 (.176) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Lions are 2-2-1 (.400) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .777.

The Lions are 2-13-1 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .482.

The Lions are 2-3-1 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .740.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Bears are winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .380.

The Bears are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Bears are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.

The Bears are winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears went three and out on 10% of their drives last week — fifth-best in NFL. Lions forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in Week 9 — tied for worst in NFL.

The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 50.8% since Week 6 — fifth-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 54.3% since Week 6 — third-worst in NFL.

The Bears have rushed the ball on 58.2% of plays from scrimmage this season — highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5.4 yards per carry this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Lions ran 23.2% offensive plays in the red zone last week — third-best in NFL. Bears allowed their opponent to run 22.4% of plays in the red zone in Week 9 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 13 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most in NFL.

Lions RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 15 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Lions have an average drive start position from the 33.3 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24.9.

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Lions have started 46 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Bears have thrown the ball 34% of the time (187 Pass Attempts/543 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Bears have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (11/55) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (33/220) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Bears have allowed a QB Hit on 30% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Lions defense have forced three and outs on 13% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (99 Pass Attempts/818 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense has allowed 427.2 yards from scrimmage per game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 358.2.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears defense has allowed first downs on 55% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.