- The Chiefs are -6.5 point favorites vs the Lions
- Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- Watch Thursday Night Football on NBC
The Detroit Lions (0-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Lions vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 54.5 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +6.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | +240 |
| Chiefs | -6.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | -300 |
Lions vs. Chiefs Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 1 game with 64.0% confidence.
Lions vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | +550 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +900 |
| David Montgomery | +1000 |
| Kadarius Toney | +1000 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Lions
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | -175 |
| David Montgomery | -105 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +100 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | +105 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +110 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chiefs vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -120 |
| Travis Kelce | 80.5 -110 | 80.5 -120 |
| David Montgomery | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Skyy Moore | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
| Noah Gray | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chiefs vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 38.5 -120 | 38.5 -110 |
| Jared Goff | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 16.5 -115 | 16.5 -115 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 48.5 -120 | 48.5 -115 |
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 64% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have scored first in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Lions went 2-1 (+0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI).
- Lions are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 60% ROI
- Lions are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Lions are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chiefs went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Chiefs are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 35% ROI
- Chiefs are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Lions were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .387.
The Lions were winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Lions were winless (0-5) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Lions are 3-19 (.136) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Chiefs were undefeated (3-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.
The Chiefs were undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Chiefs are 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Chiefs are 22-4 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 48.7% last season — second-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.1% last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs threw for 5,247 passing yards in 17 games (308.6 YPG) last season — best in NFL. The Lions allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 41.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 25.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Lions went three and out on 3.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — best in NFL. Chiefs forced three and outs on 10.9% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — third-worst in NFL.
Lions TEs had 12 receiving touchdowns last season — tied for second-most in NFL. The Chiefs allowed 33 receiving touchdowns last season — most in NFL.
The Lions scored 44 TDs in the red zone last season — second-most in NFL. The Chiefs allowed 37 TDs when defending in the red zone last season — tied for third-most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Lions ran 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Lions have started 66 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Lions ran 51% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 52% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chiefs threw for 41 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs converted first downs on 36 of 80 plays (45%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,935 yards / 830 touches) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 11% of the time (62 Pass Attempts/559 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense allowed 12.6 yards per completion (4,446 yards/353 completions) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
The Lions defense allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
Only 7% of the plays ran against the Chiefs were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense allowed 33 TD passes in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
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