Lions vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Giants (7-2) are -3 point favorites vs the Lions (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Detroit Lions (4-6) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (7-3) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Lions vs. Giants Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Lions
Giants

Lions vs. Giants Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 11 game with 57.0% confidence.

Lions vs Giants Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 11 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 5-4 (+0.5 Units / 5% ROI).

  • Lions are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -27.04% ROI
  • Lions are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Lions are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 7-2 (+4.9 Units / 50.78% ROI).

  • Giants are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 86.04% ROI
  • Giants are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI
  • Giants are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Lions are 2-13-1 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.

The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Lions are 1-9-1 (.091) on the road since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Lions are 2-3-1 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .733.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when underdogs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Giants are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Giants are 6-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .520.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. New York Giants

The Giants have scored on 49% of their drives in the second half this season — best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed scores on 46.2% of opponent drives in the second half this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Giants have rushed the ball on 52.1% of plays from scrimmage this season — tied for third-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5.6 yards per carry this season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Giants have rushed the ball on 61.1% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most in NFL.

The Lions ran 24.1% offensive plays in the red zone last week — second-best in NFL. Giants allowed their opponent to run 20.0% of plays in the red zone in Week 10 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have averaged 9.1 yards after the catch this season — second-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 10.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have gained 341 yards on 39 receptions (8.7 YPR) this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have started 48 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Lions have not recorded a TD in 11 drives in the 3rd quarter since Week 7 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Lions have converted first downs on just 14 of 27 plays (52%) on 3rd and short this season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Giants are averaging 9.5 drives per TD in the 1st half since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

The Giants converted first downs on just 24 of 110 plays (22%) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Lions defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Lions defense has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.5.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 24% (10 completions/41 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Giants defense has allowed 10.9 yards after the catch (228 RAC / 21 receptions) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.4.

The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Giants defense has allowed first downs on just 41% of plays on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Giants defense has blitzed on 36% of plays on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.