Lions vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 15, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Jets (7-6) are -1 point favorites vs the Lions (6-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Detroit Lions (6-7) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (7-6) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Lions vs. Jets Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Lions-1.5 -11043.5 -110-125
Jets +1.5 -11043.5 -110+105

Lions vs. Jets Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 15 game with 60.5% confidence.

Lions vs Jets Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 15 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Completions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 78% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Lions

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jamaal Williams +700
Zonovan Knight +700
Garrett Wilson +900
Amon-Ra St. Brown +1000
D'Andre Swift +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Lions

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jamaal Williams -110
Zonovan Knight +138
Amon-Ra St. Brown +138
D'Andre Swift +150
Garrett Wilson +160
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.20 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 9-4 (+4.5 Units / 31.36% ROI).

  • Lions are 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • Lions are 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • Lions are 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 8-5 (+2.4 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • Jets are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 51.88% ROI
  • Jets are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI
  • Jets are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.54% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Lions are 1-8-1 (.100) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.

The Lions are winless (0-2) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

The Lions are winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .374.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Jets are 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .493.

The Jets are 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .559.

The Jets are 4-1 (.800) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .714.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets

The Jets threw the ball 64.4% of the time last week — fifth-highest in NFL. The Lions allowed 9.6 yards per dropback in Week 14 — worst in NFL.

Jets WRs have been targeted 90 times since Week 11 — second-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 31.6 fantasy points per game to WRs since Week 11 — worst in NFL.

The Jets have thrown the ball 65.7% of the time in the red zone since Week 11 — third-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since Week 11 — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Lions have an average drive start position from the 29.0 yard line this season — second-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed an average drive start position from the 27.8 yard line this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have rushed for 8 TDs since Week 11 — 3rd-most in NFL.

The Lions have started 7 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Lions have started 55 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Jets have run 28% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 34% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jets have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Jets have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (117 Pass Attempts/998 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 18% of rush attempts in Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 56% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 11% of the time (50 Pass Attempts/454 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Jets defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% in Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.

Only 6% of the plays run against the Jets have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.