- The Packers (8-8) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Lions (8-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch the game on NBC
The Detroit Lions (8-8) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (8-8) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Green Bay.
The Packers are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Lions vs. Packers Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +4.5 -110 | 49 -110 | +180 |
| Packers | -4.5 -110 | 49 -110 | -225 |
Lions vs. Packers Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 18 game with 69.3% confidence.
Lions vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 18 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Robert Tonyan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Christian Watson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Tonyan | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
| Allen Lazard | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
| Aaron Jones | 19.5 -110 | 19.5 -120 |
| D.J. Chark | 35.5 -120 | 35.5 -110 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 67.5 -115 | 67.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Dillon | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -120 |
| D'Andre Swift | 31.5 -120 | 31.5 -110 |
| Jamaal Williams | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Jared Goff | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Aaron Jones | 60.5 -120 | 60.5 -110 |
Lions Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
Packers Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 11-5 (+5.4 Units / 30.68% ROI).
- Lions are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.71% ROI
- Lions are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Lions are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 8-8 (-0.9 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- Packers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -19.58% ROI
- Packers are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Packers are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — seventh-worst in NFL. The Packers have intercepted 17 passes this season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Lions are winless (0-5) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .289.
The Lions are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Lions are 3-19 (.136) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Packers are 13-2 (.867) at home since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .530.
The Packers are 4-7 (.364) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .479.
The Packers are winless (0-5) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .131.
The Packers are 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
Packers RBs have averaged 115.5 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 150.1 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Packers RBs have 0.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 24 PPG this season — third-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run 17.7% offensive plays in the red zone this season — second-best in NFL. Packers has allowed their opponent to run 16.2% of plays in the red zone this season — third-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run 50.4% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — third-best in NFL. Packers have allowed their opponents to run 46.9% of plays in their territory this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 53.8% against the blitz this season — second-best in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46.2% when blitzing this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Lions have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions ran 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Packers have run 66% of their plays in their opponent’s territory since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Packers have been flagged 60 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Packers have run 93% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Packers have run 41% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Lions defense sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (7/28) in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Lions defense has allowed 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,627 yards / 785 touches) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 10% of the time (55 Pass Attempts/532 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense has allowed 414.2 yards from scrimmage per game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 356.7.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Packers defense allowed an average time of possession of 25 min and 56 s last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 31 min 1s.
The Packers defense has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (939 yards / 105 touches) since Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Packers defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 444 attempts (3%) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
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