- The Lions (7-7) are -3 point favorites vs the Panthers (5-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Detroit Lions (7-7) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (5-9) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte.
The Lions are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Lions vs. Panthers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | -2.5 -115 | 43.5 -110 | -145 |
| Panthers | +2.5 -105 | 43.5 -110 | +120 |
Lions vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 16 game with 64.0% confidence.
Lions vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 16 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- P.J. Walker has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- D’Onta Foreman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- P.J. Walker has hit the Completions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 33% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | +650 |
| D'Andre Swift | +800 |
| DJ Moore | +800 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +800 |
| D'Onta Foreman | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Lions
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | +100 |
| DJ Moore | +120 |
| D'Onta Foreman | +125 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +138 |
| D'Andre Swift | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 72.5 -115 | 72.5 -115 |
| Terrace Marshall Jr. | 35.5 -110 | 35.5 -120 |
| D.J. Chark | 33.5 -120 | 33.5 -110 |
| D'Andre Swift | 24.5 -120 | 24.5 -115 |
| DJ Moore | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 33.5 -120 | 33.5 -110 |
| Jared Goff | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Jamaal Williams | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -115 |
| Sam Darnold | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
| Chubba Hubbard | 31.5 -110 | 31.5 -120 |
Lions Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in their last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have scored first in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 109% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 10-4 (+5.5 Units / 35.71% ROI).
- Lions are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.51% ROI
- Lions are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Lions are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 7-7 (-0.75 Units / -4.89% ROI).
- Panthers are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 1.67% ROI
- Panthers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.85 Units / -18.45% ROI
- Panthers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.12% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Lions are winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.
The Lions are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.
The Lions are 2-8-1 (.182) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Lions are winless (0-15) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .237.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Panthers are winless (0-4) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
The Panthers are winless (0-6) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Panthers are winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Panthers are 2-17 (.105) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have scored on 51.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed scores on 40% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Panthers have scored on 41.6% of their drives in the second half this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed scores on 42.9% of opponent drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL.
The Panthers have scored on 77.8% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 12 — best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed scores on 45.5% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run 17.9% offensive plays in the red zone since Week 12 — fifth-best in NFL. Panthers has allowed their opponent to run 18.1% of plays in the red zone since Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 48.2% in the second half this season — second-best in NFL. The Panthers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44.1% in the second half this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of 50.0% in the second half since Week 12 — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Panthers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 50.0% in the second half since Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Lions did not go three and out on any of their drives in Week 15 — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 35% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Panthers have run successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in Week 15 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 30% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Lions defense allowed 7 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 15 — most in NFL.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 11% of the time (118 Pass Attempts/1,033 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 10% of the time (51 Pass Attempts/489 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense have forced three and outs on 15% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 13% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.
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