Lions vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:44 AM
  • The Lions (1-1) are -1 point favorites vs the Vikings (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Detroit Lions (1-1) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Lions vs. Vikings Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Vikings vs Lions & all NFL games with BetMGM

Lions vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Detroit Lions-1 -11051.5 -110+220
Minnesota Vikings +1 -11051.5 -110-275

Lions vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 3 game with 76.3% confidence.

Lions vs Vikings Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 3 with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalen Reagor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 53% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jalen Reagor has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Lions

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Dalvin Cook +600
    Justin Jefferson +600
    Adam Thielen +750
    Amon-Ra St. Brown +800
    D'Andre Swift +800

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Lions

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Dalvin Cook -150
    Justin Jefferson -150
    Adam Thielen -115
    D'Andre Swift +100
    Amon-Ra St. Brown +105

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Lions

    Player Name Over Under
    Adam Thielen 50.5 -115 50.5 -110
    K.J. Osborn 33.5 -110 33.5 -115
    D.J. Chark 38.5 -115 38.5 -115
    Johnny Mundt 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
    Amon-Ra St. Brown 74.5 -115 74.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Lions

    Player Name Over Under
    Jared Goff 2.5 -115 2.5 -110
    Kirk Cousins 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
    Alexander Mattison 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
    Dalvin Cook 77.5 -115 77.5 -115
    Jamaal Williams 40.5 -115 40.5 -110
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • Lions are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Lions are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
    • Lions are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI

    Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 1-1 (-0.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

    • Vikings are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Vikings are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Vikings are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

    Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

    The Lions were winless (0-11-1) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.

    The Lions were 1-9-1 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

    The Lions are 1-3-1 (.200) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .740.

    The Lions were 1-8-1 (.100) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .483.

    Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

    The Vikings were winless (0-2) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    The Vikings were winless (0-6) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .165.

    The Vikings were 5-6 (.455) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .638.

    The Vikings are winless (0-10) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .323.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings

    The Vikings have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 84.6% of pass attempts this season — highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 6.7 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

    Vikings RBs have averaged just 4.5 yards after the catch since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed just 5.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — second-best in NFL.

    Vikings RBs have averaged 5.5 touches per game in the red zone since the 2020 season — tied for second-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 38 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs since the 2020 season — most in NFL.

    Lions RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 17.4% of 46 carries this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 10+ yards on 21.1% of carries to RBs this season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Lions have averaged 422 yards from scrimmage per game (843 YFS / 2 G) this season — third-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed an average of 433.5 yards from scrimmage per game (867/2) this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Lions have 6 rushing touchdowns since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 5 rushing TDs since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

    Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Lions have gone three and out 4 times in the 2nd quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

    The Lions have run 39% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

    The Lions started 28 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

    Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Vikings have run successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Vikings ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    The Vikings have not recorded a TD in 9 drives in the 2nd half this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

    The Vikings threw the ball 78% of the time (46 Pass Attempts/59 plays) in Week 2 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

    Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Lions defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

    The Lions defense allowed 75 broken tackles last season — most in NFL.

    The Lions defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

    The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays in the 1st half in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Vikings defense allowed 200.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 160.3.

    The Vikings defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 29 of 468 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) last season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    The Vikings defense has allowed 1 of 4 (25%) TDs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 72%.

    The Vikings defense has allowed a passer rating of just 25.6 when blitzing (11 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 99.6.

    Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Vikings vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM

    Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.