- Based on closing odds, Matthew Stafford (-140) is predicted to win NFL MVP.
- Stafford reclaimed the top spot after Week 18 with his odds moving from +425.
- Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (+115) is the closest challenger to Stafford.
Below, bettors can find a closing odds report for the NFL MVP Race based on NFL odds.Â
Who is Predicted to Win NFL MVP Race in 2025?Â
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (-140) is the current favorite to win NFL MVP. Stafford possesses an implied probability of 58.3% to claim this year’s honor.Â
Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (+115) closed with a 46.5% implied probability to win MVP.
NFL MVP Race Odds
| Player | Opening Odds | Odds Before Week 18 | Closing Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | +5000 | +425 | -140 |
| Drake Maye | +6600 | -700 | +115 |
Week 18 performances saw a big swing in the closing MVP race odds.
Prior to the games, oddsmakers rated Maye as a -700 favorite to win MVP with Stafford priced at +425.
But after Stafford threw four touchdown passes against Arizona, oddsmakers flipped the players. At market close, the Rams quarterback was -140 to win his first MVP award.
Maye recorded only 191 yards and a touchdown against the Dolphins. It marked the fourth time over his last seven games he tossed under 1.5 touchdown passes.
That performance saw Maye’s odds decline from -700 to +115.
For the season, Stafford earned 9.4% of bets placed and 23.3% of money wagered to win MVP at BetMGM. Maye accumulated 6.6% of bets and 13.4% of money wagered.
NFL Awards 2025 Odds Hub
- NFL Offensive Player of the Year
- NFL Defensive Player of the Year
- NFL Coach of the Year
- NFL Comeback Player of the Year
- NFL Rookie of the Year
Past NFL MVP Winners By Year
| Year | NFL Most Valuable Player |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2018 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2017 | Tom Brady |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan |
| 2015 | Cam Newton |
| 2014 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson |
| 2011 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2010 | Tom Brady |
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