Saints Playoff Chances: Will New Orleans Make the Postseason?

  • The New Orleans Saints are +425 to make the postseason in 2025-26.
  • New Orleans plays the third-easiest schedule in 2025 based on win totals.
  • I predict a case exists for the Saints defying expectations and reaching the postseason.

Based on NFL odds and Saints playoff odds, the New Orleans Saints are predicted to miss the postseason this year.ย 

Kellen Moore takes over as head coach for a team that finished last in the NFC South. Following that finish, the Saints are +550ย to make the playoffs in 2025.ย 

Oddsmakers price New Orleans at -800ย to miss the postseason next year.ย 

Prediction: Will the New Orleans Saints Make the Playoffs?ย 

While I ultimately believe the Saints miss the playoffs in 2025, reasons for optimism exist on the Saints Making the Playoffs (+425).ย 

Letโ€™s entertain the idea that Tyler Shough breaks out as the new quarterback for New Orleans. If that happens, it opens the door for the team to positively regress with a new head coach.ย 

Last season, the Saints finished as an unlucky team. Thanks to a 2-5 record in games decided by a touchdown or less, New Orleans finished a full win under expectation.ย 

Additionally, it should not go unnoticed that New Orleans suffered a disproportionate number of injuries last season.ย 

Read More: Who is the Saints’ Backup QB?ย 

Only three teams suffered more injuries than the Saints, who lost 87 adjusted games to injury on offense. That qualifies as the highest detriment in the league.ย 

A chunk of that record came because of Derek Carrโ€™s absence. The quarterback has since retired, but New Orleans also lost the most adjusted games at wide receiver.ย 

If Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed return to full health, it offers a possibility the offense could improve from 23rd in offensive DVOA last season.ย 

Defensively, New Orleans faces a slightly easier schedule than last season.ย 

The Saints finished 20th in defensive DVOA against the 19th-hardest set of opposing offenses, per ftnfantasy.com.ย 

Based on 2024 offensive DVOA ratings, the Saints face the leagueโ€™s 24th-hardest set of offenses.ย 

What does offer a slight bit of concern: Schedule makers handed New Orleans a big hurdle to overcome.ย 

New Orleans faces a -14 net rest disadvantage next season, the second-largest disadvantage in the league.ย 

If New Orleans can overcome that disadvantage, enough evidence exists that this team could surprise bettors in 2025.ย 

New Orleans Saints Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Week NumberOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Preseason+42519%

When Was the Last Time the New Orleans Saints Won the Super Bowl?ย 

Not since Super Bowl XLIV in 2010 have the Saints claimed the Lombardi Trophy.ย 

That remains New Orleansโ€™ only Super Bowl win and appearance in franchise history.ย 

New Orleans Saints Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Week NumberOdds to Win Super BowlImplied Probability
Preseason+250000.40%

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.